PPP (D) for the OH Dems: Kasich+6
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Author Topic: PPP (D) for the OH Dems: Kasich+6  (Read 1505 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: August 12, 2014, 09:51:22 AM »
If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for Republican John Kasich or Democrat Ed FitzGerald?

50% John Kasich
44% Ed FitzGerald

PPP poll of 801 likely Ohio voters, August 8-9

http://de.scribd.com/doc/236596552/PPP-Poll-Ohio-Governor

...

Adjusted for PPP's previous OH-bias in favour of Fitzgerald this probably means Kasich leads by 10-15 ... Wink
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2014, 10:35:21 AM »
Kasich at 50, and the momentum is on his side.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: August 12, 2014, 10:38:01 AM »
Plus Silver's rule of thumb for internals.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2014, 10:51:15 AM »
Toss-up, FitzGerald has had a bad week but that's just because people in Ohio don't know he's a Demigod yet.
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2014, 11:01:50 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on August 12, 2014, 09:51:22 AM
Adjusted for PPP's previous OH-bias in favour of Fitzgerald this probably means Kasich leads by 10-15 ... Wink

It's not so much PPP's bias as it is that this poll was done for the FitzGerald campaign so they probably kept on doing polls until they found one they liked.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2014, 11:22:01 PM »
Where's Adam?!?!?
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Simfan34
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« Reply #6 on: August 13, 2014, 10:30:46 PM »
Glorious news.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: August 15, 2014, 02:35:30 PM »
I think everyone realises now, that Fitzgerald will have the same chance as Mandel or Lee Fischer.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #8 on: August 15, 2014, 02:36:37 PM »
« Edited: August 15, 2014, 02:43:22 PM by ModerateVAVoter »
OC's acknowledgement and Adam's Silence should tell you just how badly Ed FitzGerald's goose is cooked.
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Vosem
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« Reply #9 on: August 15, 2014, 03:15:53 PM »
Quote from: OC on August 15, 2014, 02:35:30 PM
I think everyone realises now, that Fitzgerald will have the same chance as Mandel or Lee Fischer.

That's a bit of an unfair comparison. Mandel lost by 6 points; Fisher lost by 18 (3 times as much). Fitzgerald right now is somewhere between those two figures, true, but they're pretty widely separated from each other.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: August 15, 2014, 04:38:48 PM »
I was referring to being a flawed candidate who had little name fecognition to begin with.
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KCDem
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« Reply #11 on: August 15, 2014, 09:20:24 PM »
Kasich wins by about 10 points unless something drastic changes.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2014, 01:56:23 PM »
Ddddddominating.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2014, 05:38:57 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on August 15, 2014, 03:15:53 PM
Quote from: OC on August 15, 2014, 02:35:30 PM
I think everyone realises now, that Fitzgerald will have the same chance as Mandel or Lee Fischer.

That's a bit of an unfair comparison. Mandel lost by 6 points; Fisher lost by 18 (3 times as much). Fitzgerald right now is somewhere between those two figures, true, but they're pretty widely separated from each other.

Yeah, but both of them had no chance at all.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #14 on: August 18, 2014, 07:01:37 PM »
Realistically, in a swing state like Ohio you're only going to control the governorship like half the time. I'm fine punting this year. Frankly, it doesn't matter who controls the governorship now. 2018 will be a lot more important (cuz of redistricting) and strategically speaking, it will be easier to pick up the governorship in an open seat after 8 years of GOP rule.
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #15 on: August 18, 2014, 07:02:41 PM »

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NHLiberal
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« Reply #16 on: August 18, 2014, 07:07:42 PM »
Quote from: Panda Express on August 18, 2014, 07:01:37 PM
Realistically, in a swing state like Ohio you're only going to control the governorship like half the time. I'm fine punting this year. Frankly, it doesn't matter who controls the governorship now. 2018 will be a lot more important (cuz of redistricting) and strategically speaking, it will be easier to pick up the governorship in an open seat after 8 years of GOP rule.

This. Especially cause Snyder and Walker are much easier targets and (in my opinion) much more objectionable Governors than Kasich.
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