AR-PPP: Cotton +2

[ElectionsGuy]

Even though democrats will lose this seat, they still should have one congressional seat after this election and 2 by 2020 because of the third.

In the unlikely event that a white liberal wins a district in Arkansas, redistricting can promptly throw him out in 2 years.

Actually no, by 2022, they won't be able to have all four of the seats, they will have to draw a sink, anyways that will be moot after Benton county starts to become more progressive, which every political consultant in the states says will happen.

Why would Benton be more progressive?  It's one of the most Republican counties in the state.

Is this like NoVA or something?

I don't quite understand it either. Historically its the most republican county and still is one of the most. We've seen many historically republican areas turn not as republican (Chicago suburbs, Southern California) but it hasn't trended democratic since before 2000.