|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 30, 2020, 05:45:06 am
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  IL: Rasmussen: Oberweis (R) only trailing by 10
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IL: Rasmussen: Oberweis (R) only trailing by 10  (Read 640 times)
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 05, 2014, 05:13:24 pm »

Link coming.

Durbin (D)- 48%
Oberweis (R)- 38%
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,627
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2014, 05:28:06 pm »

No way Durbin is under 50%. This is probably Ras being Ras.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,517
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 05, 2014, 05:32:09 pm »

No way Durbin is under 50%. This is probably Ras being Ras.

The last PPP poll had Durbin only at 51%. It's probably Ras being Ras, but it's not outside the realm of possibility.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,627
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2014, 05:37:51 pm »

No way Durbin is under 50%. This is probably Ras being Ras.

The last PPP poll had Durbin only at 51%. It's probably Ras being Ras, but it's not outside the realm of possibility.

Oh, I missed that PPP poll. Still, this is Rasmussen, so I'll definitely wait for another pollster to come out with numbers.
Logged
Marxist-Cornpopist Thought
SawxDem
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 9,630
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 05, 2014, 05:45:17 pm »

Yeah, Illinois is fairly inelastic IIRC and I wouldn't be surprised to see Quinn dragging everyone down this year. It'll probably be closer to 1996 than 2002.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 05, 2014, 06:17:09 pm »

His margin of victory will probably be cut in half from 2008, but it will still be significantly over double digits.
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,482
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 05, 2014, 06:41:47 pm »

As I said elsewhere, Quinn can drag Durbin down to perhaps as low as a 12 point victory, but no lower. Oberweis is a MUCH stronger challenger than Sauerberg ('08 challenger) was, but Durbin remains very popular and is no danger of losing. Durbin's ceiling is probably his 2002 margin of victory (22 points). It's difficult to see him getting any higher than that given the state and national environment.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,958
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 05, 2014, 11:50:30 pm »

Durbin under 50?! Flip a coin, we've got ourselves a pure toss up here.
Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,658
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -4.35


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2014, 05:20:18 pm »

For the record, Durbin isn't even campaigning yet (other than for candidates in more competitive races). And Oberweis has so few resources that I haven't heard from him, either.

He's not worried.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,255
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.97, S: -1.57

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2014, 06:40:02 pm »

Durbin under 50?! Flip a coin, we've got ourselves a pure toss up here.
Quit being ridiculous.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.345 seconds with 16 queries.