Pres. Calvin Coolidge (MA) / Sen. Charles Curtis (KS) 56% 434
Gov. Al Smith (NY) / Sen. Joseph Robinson (AR) 43% 97
Coolidge would perform better than Hoover in New England, retaining some of the Irish and other 'ethnic' community vote there even though most still do go for Smith. He does not quite as well in the Midwest due to the Central/Eastern European connection that Mecha mentioned, bleeding to Smith from progressives who would go for Hoover but find Coolidge too conservative, and Hoover originally hailing from that region. Coolidge has slightly less support in the South than Hoover, but basically Coolidge can hate the KKK all day long and they are still going to go out and support him over a Catholic except in the most extremely solidly Democratic parts of the Deep South.
Very sensible map. Coolidge would have had more trouble taking the LaFollette vote – and before he died in 1925 LaFollette did endorse Smith one should recall – than Hoover did, but it’s hard to see it costing him anything in the anti-Catholic Pacific Northwest or Upper South.
He would certainly have kept Massachusetts and Rhode Island in the Republican fold for another election, and Coolidge’s popularity in the Northeast would have countered Smith’s very powerful personal vote enough to hold New York.
One point one might look at seeing this map is to note that as it was Coolidge died in 1933, and if he had run and been elected again Coolidge might either have died in office or seen his health become sufficiently bad to resign because of it (four decades before Nixon became the only President to resign). What would Curtis have been like as President, and how would an America run by Charles Curtis have dealt with the Depression?
