What the hell is up with Hawaii??
More like what the hell is up with Hawaii's polling companies.
They were largely off in 2012 as well. So many thought HI-SEN was competitive when it just wasn't...
Linda Lingle should have been more formidable than she was in that race, which probably explains why many assumed that the election was competitive. She was the strongest Republican that the party could have put up in any Hawaiian election. Hirono definitely had the advantage going into election night, but I was mildly surprised to see that Lingle couldn't even manage 40% of the vote.
The 2012 Democratic Senate primary polls were even more off. They showed a close race between Hirono and Case.
Hirono ended up beating Case by almost 20 points, even though the Civil Beat poll showed Ed Case leading Hirono by 1 point.
