How has your county voted in previous presidential elections?

[Mr. Smith]

My current county (Alameda) from 1892-1932 voted entirely against the Democrats [even in 1912 they voted for Teddy Roosevelt again rather than Wilson or Taft,the latter wasn't even on the state ballot],then never voted for Republicans ever again [except for 1952 and 1956].

Most interesting is that Humphrey won the county by roughly 53%,but Mc Govern won it by 55%. Basically when the rest of the nation drank the Nixon-ade, my county wisely knew he was a crook.

The same effect happened with Reagan as well. Carter was only voted for re-election by 48.3% (1 of exactly 3 counties in the whole state NOT to vote for Reagan), but Mondale won it by 58%.

Also the county voted the strongest for Carter in 1976 at 57.7%

Last two elections Obama won by 78.7% against Mc Cain and Romney.

[Mr. Smith]

Alameda Co., CA

Year    Candidate             Swing          Relative to State  (approx)    Relative to Nation (approx)

2016: H. Clinton 78.06%  +0.63 R      + 16 D                    +30 D
2012: Obama 78.69%      + 0.17 D      + 18 D                    + 27 D
2008: Obama 78.52%     + 3.34 D      + 17 D                    +26 D
2004: Kerry 75.18%        + 5.82 D       + 21 D                    + 27 D
2000: Gore 69.36%         + 3.56 D       +18 D                     +20 D
1996: B. Clinton 65.8%   + 2.8 D         +14.3 D                  + 17.6 D
1992: B. Clinton 63%      + 1.8 R         +17 D                    + 20 D
1988: Dukakis 64.8%     + 6.1 D           + 16 D                   + 19 D
1984: Mondale 58.7%     + 10.4 D         + 17 D                    + 18 D
1980: Carter 48.3%         + 9.6 R          +14 D                     + 7 D
1976: Carter 57.9%        + 2.9 D         + 10 D                    + 8 D
1972: McGovern 55%       + 2 D           + 14 D                     + 17.5 D
1968: Humphrey 53%       + 13.6 R        + 9 D                     + 11 D
1964: L. Johnson 66.4%    +12.4 D        + 7 D                      + 5 D
1960: Kennedy  54%          +7.7 D         +5 D                      + 5 D
1956: Eisenhower  52.4%    + 0.1 D      + 3 D                       + 5 D
1952: Eisenhower 52.3%                            + 6.6 R      + 4.5 D                     + 3 D
1948: Truman   47.8%            +10 R      EVEN                       + 2.2 R
1944: F. Roosevelt 57.7%          +0.26 D                     +0.8 D                   +4.03 D
1940: F. Roosevelt 55.21%               +8.42 R       +2.2 R                      0.51 D
1936: F. Roosevelt 63.63%  +11.63 D                   +3.32 R                   +2.83 D
1932: F. Roosevelt 52%       +18 D         +6.4 R    +5.2 R
1928: Hoover  65.4%         +3.9 R                  +0.7 R                    +7.2 R
1924: Coolidge 61.5%        + 8.6 D            +4.3 R            +7.5 R
1920: Harding 69.1%      +18.86 R                       +6.9 R             +8.8 R
1916: Hughes 50.34%                    +2.87 R             +4.07 R         +4.24 R
1912: T. Roosevelt 47.47%            - N/A-      +5.84 P                   +20.07 P



Yeah, formatting this was a nightmare. But yeah, my place was quite the GOP paradise until The New Deal...and even then, much of the rest of the state was more Democratic.

Then it became a leaning Democratic area until Reaganomics happened.

[Mr. Smith]

Alameda Co., CA

Year    Candidate             Swing          Relative to State  (approx)    Relative to Nation (approx)

2016: H. Clinton 78.06%  +0.63 R      + 16 D                    +30 D
2012: Obama 78.69%      + 0.17 D      + 18 D                    + 27 D
2008: Obama 78.52%     + 3.34 D      + 17 D                    +26 D
2004: Kerry 75.18%        + 5.82 D       + 21 D                    + 27 D
2000: Gore 69.36%         + 3.56 D       +18 D                     +20 D
1996: B. Clinton 65.8%   + 2.8 D         +14.3 D                  + 17.6 D
1992: B. Clinton 63%      + 1.8 R         +17 D                    + 20 D
1988: Dukakis 64.8%     + 6.1 D           + 16 D                   + 19 D
1984: Mondale 58.7%     + 10.4 D         + 17 D                    + 18 D
1980: Carter 48.3%         + 9.6 R          +14 D                     + 7 D
1976: Carter 57.9%        + 2.9 D         + 10 D                    + 8 D
1972: McGovern 55%       + 2 D           + 14 D                     + 17.5 D
1968: Humphrey 53%       + 13.6 R        + 9 D                     + 11 D
1964: L. Johnson 66.4%    +12.4 D        + 7 D                      + 5 D
1960: Kennedy  54%          +7.7 D         +5 D                      + 5 D
1956: Eisenhower  52.4%    + 0.1 D      + 3 D                       + 5 D
1952: Eisenhower 52.3%                            + 6.6 R      + 4.5 D                     + 3 D
1948: Truman   47.8%            +10 R      EVEN                       + 2.2 R
1944: F. Roosevelt 57.7%          +0.26 D                     +0.8 D                   +4.03 D
1940: F. Roosevelt 55.21%               +8.42 R       +2.2 R                      0.51 D
1936: F. Roosevelt 63.63%  +11.63 D                   +3.32 R                   +2.83 D
1932: F. Roosevelt 52%       +18 D         +6.4 R    +5.2 R
1928: Hoover  65.4%         +3.9 R                  +0.7 R                    +7.2 R
1924: Coolidge 61.5%        + 8.6 D            +4.3 R            +7.5 R
1920: Harding 69.1%      +18.86 R                       +6.9 R             +8.8 R
1916: Hughes 50.34%                    +2.87 R             +4.07 R         +4.24 R
1912: T. Roosevelt 47.47%            - N/A-      +5.84 P                   +20.07 P



Yeah, formatting this was a nightmare. But yeah, my place was quite the GOP paradise until The New Deal...and even then, much of the rest of the state was more Democratic.

Then it became a leaning Democratic area until Reaganomics happened.

And here's Part II:

I can only look at swings, and relatives where there is data besides "> X%", so the 1892 Election is the beginning of that, and I have to skip over 1900 for the same reason.


1908: Taft 64.2%                      + 6.12 D                        + 8.74 R                   + 12. 6 R
1904: T. Roosevelt 70.32%            - N/A-                         + 8. 48 R             + 13. 92 R
1900: McKinley > 60%                   - N/A-                           -N/A-               -N/A-
1896: McKinley 60.43%               + 12.87 R                    + 11.27 R              + 9.43 R
1892: B. Harrison 47.6%            + 2.4 - 12.4 R              + 4.18 R               + 4.6 R
1888: B. Harrison > 50%
1884: Blaine > 60%
1880: Garfield > 50%
1876: Hayes > 40%
1872: Grant > 50%
1868: Grant  > 50%
1864: Lincoln > 60%
1860: Lincoln > 40%     
1856: Buchanan < 50%   

Didn't exist as a county in 1852, and before that California wasn't even a state.