Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip (user search)
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  Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip (search mode)
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Author Topic: Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip  (Read 3769 times)
Rockefeller GOP
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« on: July 23, 2014, 06:11:35 PM »

I don't know a lot about Carter or Nunn other than they're viewed as moderate Southern Democrats.  Do either of them actually disagree with the national platform on any significant issues to earn that reputation (e.g., being pro-life or against gay marriage)?
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Rockefeller GOP
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Posts: 2,936
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2014, 10:50:20 PM »

Georgia is so inelastic that once Democrats break through in multiple races, it's a signaling point that the demographics are reaching critical mass. Nunn and Carter are helping us cheat by moving it up a cycle so to speak, but the argument by and large still stands.

After that happens, the Republicans will have at most one cycle to reclaim any territory before they lose it forever. In other words, if Nunn/Carter win in '14, Republicans can fight hard to keep Georgia's EVs for the Republicans - and the Senate seat - in '16, but '18 would likely be a clean-sweep of all statewide offices for Democrats (save for the very most popular incumbents). It also won't help that every statewide officer will be finishing their second term, a common retirement point, in '18 (except State School Superintendent).

In the example above, though, I think a Dem win in the Gov/Sen races in '14 is a lot harder than a win in '16; that case may be the actual end of Republican dominance in the state if we succeed in Nov.

Democrats' wet dream since 1992.

Agreed for now, but things can change.  We never thought we'd ever have a "lock" on Georgia before about the '70s or '80s...
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Rockefeller GOP
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Posts: 2,936
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2014, 10:37:47 AM »

I can imagine this post in 1934:

How are Massachusetts Republicans going to address the changes when Irish American votes aren't even remotely elastic!?

Also,

Northern Catholics are even more partisan than Northern Protestants, so Bacon could be in trouble just by being a Republican.



Georgia Republicans can win back the southern black votes; all they have to do is stop being racists which would make it almost impossible baring a realignment.

Okay seriously how are Republicans racist?

It's just a fact!  There are no racist Democrats.
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