CO-Marist: Udall (D) up 7 among RVs (user search)
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  CO-Marist: Udall (D) up 7 among RVs (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-Marist: Udall (D) up 7 among RVs  (Read 1473 times)
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« on: July 15, 2014, 07:28:37 AM »

I'm surprised that Gardner has more of a deficit in this poll than Beauprez; I'd expect the opposite to be the case. The only data in this poll that seemed to explain this is that Gardner's favorables outweighed his unfavorables by 2 points, while Beauprez's favorable were higher than his unfavorables by 8 points.

It is kind of strange how poorly Gardner did with this R+5 sample, considering Ken Buck lost by less than a point in 2010 with a D+5 electorate.
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Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2014, 11:46:38 AM »

On Twitter, Nathan Gonzalez from Roll Call pointed out that the sample was 16% Latino, and that this seemed strange because the 2012 electorate in CO was only 14% Latino.

Personally, I don't think this completely writes off Udall's advantage, but he might not lead by 7 points.
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