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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  PA Senate District 16- Special Election
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Author Topic: PA Senate District 16- Special Election  (Read 7424 times)
TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« on: April 03, 2005, 07:34:50 pm »
« edited: April 04, 2005, 12:16:14 am by Flyers2006 »

Anyone have opinions on the Jennifer Mann (D) vs. Pat Browne (R) race?  I really hope Jennifer Mann wins.  I actually canvassed for her yesterday.  It seems like Pat Browne does nothing for his Legislative district and has been DUI twice.  Hopefully winning this seat will help our chances in 2006 with unseating Rick Santorum.
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Jake
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« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2005, 07:37:49 pm »

Is this the Schwartz seat?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2005, 07:39:11 pm »


No, it's Charlie Dent's Senate seat.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2005, 07:40:24 pm »

Anyone have opinions on the Jennifer Mann (D) vs. Pat Browne (R) race?  I really hope Jennifer Mann wins.  I actually canvassed for her yeaterday.  It seems like Pat Browne does nothing for his Legislative district and has been DUI twice.  Hopefully winning this seat will help our chances in 2006 with unseating Rick Santorum.

I am worried. Mann is on air with the DUI ads. I think Browne will probably still pull it out but it'll be closer than it would have been before (without the ads).
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Jake
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« Reply #4 on: April 03, 2005, 07:45:29 pm »


Is Schwartz's seat still open?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #5 on: April 03, 2005, 07:46:13 pm »


I think so. It's solid Dem so it doesn't matter for us.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #6 on: April 04, 2005, 12:15:39 am »

Anyone have opinions on the Jennifer Mann (D) vs. Pat Browne (R) race?  I really hope Jennifer Mann wins.  I actually canvassed for her yeaterday.  It seems like Pat Browne does nothing for his Legislative district and has been DUI twice.  Hopefully winning this seat will help our chances in 2006 with unseating Rick Santorum.

I am worried. Mann is on air with the DUI ads. I think Browne will probably still pull it out but it'll be closer than it would have been before (without the ads).

I definitely think Jennifer Mann will pull it out.  People love her in that area.  Hell, she should have ran for Congress.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #7 on: April 04, 2005, 02:10:35 pm »

Anyone have opinions on the Jennifer Mann (D) vs. Pat Browne (R) race?  I really hope Jennifer Mann wins.  I actually canvassed for her yeaterday.  It seems like Pat Browne does nothing for his Legislative district and has been DUI twice.  Hopefully winning this seat will help our chances in 2006 with unseating Rick Santorum.

I am worried. Mann is on air with the DUI ads. I think Browne will probably still pull it out but it'll be closer than it would have been before (without the ads).

I definitely think Jennifer Mann will pull it out.  People love her in that area.  Hell, she should have ran for Congress.

Mann is very popular but Browne seems pretty popular himself and has a lot of big name support (though Mann just had an event with Casey).
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2005, 01:57:25 pm »

Anyone have opinions on the Jennifer Mann (D) vs. Pat Browne (R) race?  I really hope Jennifer Mann wins.  I actually canvassed for her yeaterday.  It seems like Pat Browne does nothing for his Legislative district and has been DUI twice.  Hopefully winning this seat will help our chances in 2006 with unseating Rick Santorum.

I am worried. Mann is on air with the DUI ads. I think Browne will probably still pull it out but it'll be closer than it would have been before (without the ads).

I definitely think Jennifer Mann will pull it out.  People love her in that area.  Hell, she should have ran for Congress.

Mann is very popular but Browne seems pretty popular himself and has a lot of big name support (though Mann just had an event with Casey).

See what happens tonight!
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2005, 02:00:20 pm »

Anyone have opinions on the Jennifer Mann (D) vs. Pat Browne (R) race?  I really hope Jennifer Mann wins.  I actually canvassed for her yeaterday.  It seems like Pat Browne does nothing for his Legislative district and has been DUI twice.  Hopefully winning this seat will help our chances in 2006 with unseating Rick Santorum.

I am worried. Mann is on air with the DUI ads. I think Browne will probably still pull it out but it'll be closer than it would have been before (without the ads).

I definitely think Jennifer Mann will pull it out.  People love her in that area.  Hell, she should have ran for Congress.

Mann is very popular but Browne seems pretty popular himself and has a lot of big name support (though Mann just had an event with Casey).

See what happens tonight!

I'll be posting update throughout the night (for all those Pennsylvanians that care).
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nini2287
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« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2005, 04:29:58 pm »

Anyone have opinions on the Jennifer Mann (D) vs. Pat Browne (R) race?  I really hope Jennifer Mann wins.  I actually canvassed for her yeaterday.  It seems like Pat Browne does nothing for his Legislative district and has been DUI twice.  Hopefully winning this seat will help our chances in 2006 with unseating Rick Santorum.

I am worried. Mann is on air with the DUI ads. I think Browne will probably still pull it out but it'll be closer than it would have been before (without the ads).

I definitely think Jennifer Mann will pull it out.  People love her in that area.  Hell, she should have ran for Congress.

Mann is very popular but Browne seems pretty popular himself and has a lot of big name support (though Mann just had an event with Casey).

See what happens tonight!

I'll be posting update throughout the night (for all those Pennsylvanians that care).

Where can you go to view the results as they come in?  (TV preferably)
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #11 on: April 05, 2005, 04:32:29 pm »

Anyone have opinions on the Jennifer Mann (D) vs. Pat Browne (R) race?  I really hope Jennifer Mann wins.  I actually canvassed for her yeaterday.  It seems like Pat Browne does nothing for his Legislative district and has been DUI twice.  Hopefully winning this seat will help our chances in 2006 with unseating Rick Santorum.

I am worried. Mann is on air with the DUI ads. I think Browne will probably still pull it out but it'll be closer than it would have been before (without the ads).

I definitely think Jennifer Mann will pull it out.  People love her in that area.  Hell, she should have ran for Congress.

Mann is very popular but Browne seems pretty popular himself and has a lot of big name support (though Mann just had an event with Casey).

See what happens tonight!

I'll be posting update throughout the night (for all those Pennsylvanians that care).

Where can you go to view the results as they come in?  (TV preferably)

Unless PCN is on, no where on TV. Here is a link where they state that results will be available later this evening: http://www.mcall.com/news/local/all-electionpromo0405,0,3028590.story?coll=all-news-hed
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nini2287
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« Reply #12 on: April 05, 2005, 04:36:30 pm »

Thanks,  I also get channel 69 out of Allentown or Reading, do you know if they'll have updates throughout the evening?
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Jake
dubya2004
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« Reply #13 on: April 05, 2005, 04:37:07 pm »

Hopefully PCN has updates.  Off topic question, why do some seats have special elections later. About a month ago, special elections were held for a state senate seat.  Why the difference?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #14 on: April 05, 2005, 05:02:13 pm »

Hopefully PCN has updates.  Off topic question, why do some seats have special elections later. About a month ago, special elections were held for a state senate seat.  Why the difference?

I honestly have no idea and to address nini's point, I also have channel 69. I'm guessing they'll be following it.
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nini2287
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« Reply #15 on: April 05, 2005, 05:12:12 pm »

Hopefully PCN has updates.  Off topic question, why do some seats have special elections later. About a month ago, special elections were held for a state senate seat.  Why the difference?

I honestly have no idea and to address nini's point, I also have channel 69. I'm guessing they'll be following it.

Yeah I had to flip to channel 69 for updates on state house races this election.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #16 on: April 05, 2005, 05:51:39 pm »

I did a bit of research on both candidates' re-election bids from 2000-2004.

2000

Browne re-elected with 59% of the vote.

Mann re-elected with 71% of the vote.

2002

Browne re-elected with 62% of the vote.

Mann re-elected with No opponent

2004

Browne re-elected with 91% of the vote.

Mann re-elected with 71% of the vote.
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Jake
dubya2004
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« Reply #17 on: April 05, 2005, 05:53:31 pm »

Don't see how you can draw much from those. 
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #18 on: April 05, 2005, 05:58:29 pm »

Don't see how you can draw much from those. 

Nothing really. Just wanted to provide some background.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #19 on: April 05, 2005, 05:59:59 pm »

My prediction (Let's see how well I can do on this one Cheesy )

Browne - 52%
Mann - 48%

There is an Independent candidate but I don't see him getting much of anything in this race.
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Jake
dubya2004
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« Reply #20 on: April 05, 2005, 06:04:20 pm »

No polls, no track record, no anything. 

I'll say Democrat pickup

Mann     54%
Browne 46%
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #21 on: April 05, 2005, 06:05:32 pm »

No polls, no track record, no anything. 

I'll say Democrat pickup

Mann     54%
Browne 46%


Wow. Not just a win but a pretty comfortable one, too. Either way this race goes, it'll be close.
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Jake
dubya2004
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« Reply #22 on: April 05, 2005, 06:32:22 pm »

No polls, no track record, no anything. 

I'll say Democrat pickup

Mann     54%
Browne 46%


Wow. Not just a win but a pretty comfortable one, too. Either way this race goes, it'll be close.

That's the problem, I have nothing, zip, zero to make my prediction on.  I flipped a coin, and picked a victory margin randomly.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #23 on: April 05, 2005, 07:05:29 pm »

The official results should be coming in shortly.

http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ElectionReturns.aspx?control=OfficeDistrictReturns&ElecID=2&OfficeID=12
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #24 on: April 05, 2005, 07:56:28 pm »

For whatever reason, the DOS isn't updating the results. Here's the local station. Browne up by 5%!

http://www.stormcenter.info/election/race1.shtml
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