MS-Chism: Cochran up 1
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 07:52:12 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  MS-Chism: Cochran up 1
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MS-Chism: Cochran up 1  (Read 1145 times)
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 16, 2014, 09:44:46 AM »

48/47. Cochran steady, McDaniel down 4 from last poll.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,711
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2014, 09:46:52 AM »

Boo-yaa!!

Runoff is pure tossup like I've been saying
Logged
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,046


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 16, 2014, 10:35:50 AM »

I'm going to laugh so hard at the Tea Party if Cochran pulls this off.
Logged
moderatevoter
ModerateVAVoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,381


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 16, 2014, 10:37:09 AM »

With any luck, Cochran will.
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 16, 2014, 01:20:51 PM »

At this point, Cochran has shown himself to be a senile old man who molested animals in his younger days, things that don't scream winner. This race is McDaniel's to lose.
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,625
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 16, 2014, 01:51:56 PM »
« Edited: June 16, 2014, 02:00:49 PM by Vosem »

Still think McDaniel is favored but a Cochran win would be glorious.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 16, 2014, 02:30:48 PM »

Am I the only one that think's Cochran isn't dead in the water?  Sure, he's going to a runoff, but that's no guarantee he'll lose.  If anything, it's probably a good thing for him because he can show Mississippi just what a loon Chris "Mamacita" McDaniel really is.
Logged
moderatevoter
ModerateVAVoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,381


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 16, 2014, 02:39:53 PM »

I don't think Cochran is dead. I'd say McDaniel is favored, but only slightly.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,711
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 16, 2014, 02:47:26 PM »

Cochran's campaign staff has doubled since June 3rd.

McDaniel, in terms of percentages and turnout, probably "maxed-out" on June 3rd.  Cochran still has room to grow among moderates, old people and Democrats. 
Logged
CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 16, 2014, 03:00:38 PM »

Cochran's campaign staff has doubled since June 3rd.

McDaniel, in terms of percentages and turnout, probably "maxed-out" on June 3rd.  Cochran still has room to grow among moderates, old people and Democrats

Can they vote in the run-off if they didn't vote in the first round?
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,711
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 16, 2014, 03:08:42 PM »

Cochran's campaign staff has doubled since June 3rd.

McDaniel, in terms of percentages and turnout, probably "maxed-out" on June 3rd.  Cochran still has room to grow among moderates, old people and Democrats

Can they vote in the run-off if they didn't vote in the first round?

Yes.

Mississippi voter registration is non-partisan.  There is no such thing as a "registered" Republican or Democrat in Mississippi.  As long as they did not vote in the June 3rd Democratic primary they can vote in the runoff.

All of the polls out there, including the Chism poll, only polled people who had voted in the June 3rd GOP primary.  This may prove to be problematic, as a major component of Senator Cochran's campaign is to court voters who did not participate on June 3rd.   
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 16, 2014, 03:09:05 PM »

It's worth repeating that Democrats don't show up in general elections, so it's highly unlikely they are going to turn out to rescue a Republican in a primary.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 16, 2014, 03:23:13 PM »

It's worth repeating that Democrats don't show up in general elections, so it's highly unlikely they are going to turn out to rescue a Republican in a primary.
They may turn out to elect Childers if McDaniel wins the runoff.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,580
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 18, 2014, 08:14:24 PM »

McDaniel is probably a 70% or so favorite to win the runoff, but if McDaniel can't turnout the southeast vote (where he performed best) in numbers close to what he could on June 3, look for a Cochran upset.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,258
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 19, 2014, 10:05:32 AM »

McDaniel is probably a 70% or so favorite to win the runoff, but if McDaniel can't turnout the southeast vote (where he performed best) in numbers close to what he could on June 3, look for a Cochran upset.

Considering how rabid the support and turnout in Jones County was a few weeks ago, those are exactly the type of voters that will turn out in droves for the turnout.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 24, 2014, 10:33:16 PM »

This is the only one that was accurate.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 24, 2014, 10:47:36 PM »

This is the only one that was accurate.

Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 24, 2014, 10:54:42 PM »

FWIW, a TPE poll out last Friday had Cochran up 44.5-44.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.234 seconds with 14 queries.