IA: Rasmussen: Ernst (R) now leads Braley (D) by 1

[moderatevoter]

Ernst got a fair deal of money from the Chamber, sure, but her campaign itself barely raised or spent any money. Not to mention, I don't know how many millions Jacobs spent in ads to get in the teens. That "Squeal" ad went viral and worked wonders for her.

I think people here are overreacting to how "awful" she is. Is she the perfect candidate? No. Sure she has said some questionable things, but let's not pretend Bruce Braley is the world's most disciplined candidate. Not every conservative female is Sarah Palin. Also, Ernst has managed to very quickly unite the party.

Even the last PPP poll on Iowa had a sample which was favorable to Democrats. I think a few people here pointed that out. I am not suggesting this race is an easy GOP pickup, but it will be more competitive than people here seemed to think.

[moderatevoter]

^ Yeah, this is 38D/34R/28I sample. 2010 was 31D/35R/34I.

This is what I was referring to from the PPP poll.