KY-Wenzel Strategies (R): McConnell (R) up 3
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Author Topic: KY-Wenzel Strategies (R): McConnell (R) up 3  (Read 662 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 28, 2014, 12:06:53 PM »
47-44 McConnell/Grimes

Wenzel Strategies conducted a telephone survey of likely General Election voters statewide in Kentucky regarding the race for U.S. Senate. The survey was conducted May 23-24, 2014 and included 608 respondents. The survey carries a confidence interval of 95% and a margin of error of +/- 3.95 percentage points.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Wenzel_KYSen_052814.html
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2014, 12:15:14 PM »
Decimals Tongue
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DrScholl
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« Reply #2 on: May 28, 2014, 12:49:54 PM »
This same pollster had Akin in the lead just weeks for the election in 2012.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #3 on: May 28, 2014, 01:05:37 PM »
Wenzel is literally the worst, I'm surprised McConnell isn't up 10.
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Person Man
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« Reply #4 on: May 28, 2014, 01:23:00 PM »
All in all, McConnell could win but he would probably have to be very lucky.
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SWE
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« Reply #5 on: May 28, 2014, 01:34:35 PM »
Likely R!!!
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #6 on: May 28, 2014, 01:51:54 PM »
Someone has to explain to me why decimals discredit polls. I know decimals aren't relevant and all that talk, but I still don't get it.
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windjammer
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« Reply #7 on: May 28, 2014, 01:53:30 PM »
Quote from: Niemeyerite on May 28, 2014, 01:51:54 PM
Someone has to explain to me why decimals discredit polls. I know decimals aren't relevant and all that talk, but I still don't get it.

Simply because all decimals polls are terrible, experience.
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Flake
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« Reply #8 on: May 28, 2014, 02:23:15 PM »
Quote from: Niemeyerite on May 28, 2014, 01:51:54 PM
Someone has to explain to me why decimals discredit polls. I know decimals aren't relevant and all that talk, but I still don't get it.

Polls that have decimals tend to have very unreliable poll sources, such as Wenzel.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #9 on: May 28, 2014, 02:40:12 PM »
Quote from: Niemeyerite on May 28, 2014, 01:51:54 PM
Someone has to explain to me why decimals discredit polls. I know decimals aren't relevant and all that talk, but I still don't get it.


Crappy firms like to add decimals to their numbers in order to make them look more scientific, whereas actual polling firms are confident enough in their results to disregard insignificant digits.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: May 28, 2014, 06:10:01 PM »

Sabato should seriously be looking to change his Kentucky rating to at least Lean R. The non-advantage by McConnell has been very consistent for a long time now.
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SWE
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« Reply #11 on: May 28, 2014, 07:34:40 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 28, 2014, 06:10:01 PM

Sabato should seriously be looking to change his Kentucky rating to at least Lean R. The non-advantage by McConnell has been very consistent for a long time now.
I don't see how he can say with a straight face that McConnell is more likely to win reelection than Jeanne Shaheen
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #12 on: May 28, 2014, 08:24:26 PM »
Quote from: angryGreatness on May 28, 2014, 02:40:12 PM
Quote from: Niemeyerite on May 28, 2014, 01:51:54 PM
Someone has to explain to me why decimals discredit polls. I know decimals aren't relevant and all that talk, but I still don't get it.


Crappy firms like to add decimals to their numbers in order to make them look more scientific, whereas actual polling firms are confident enough in their results to disregard insignificant digits.

OK, this is the kind of answer I wanted. I wouldn't discredit a new pollster just because they use decimals based on "experience", but if they do it in order to look more scientific, that makes sense to me Wink
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