How close was a Maine electoral vote split in 1976?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 10:27:39 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  How close was a Maine electoral vote split in 1976?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How close was a Maine electoral vote split in 1976?  (Read 914 times)
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 25, 2014, 04:55:20 PM »

I don't have access to the CD-level info on the site. But Ford only won Maine by 0.8%. How close was an electoral vote split?
Logged
Kevinstat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,823


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2014, 08:29:52 PM »
« Edited: April 23, 2015, 10:52:11 PM by Kevinstat »

Pretty darn close, with the northern second district actually being better for the Democrat (which isn't that surprising when you consider the candidates and the types of people they appealed to).  Ford won what was then ME-02 (the current ME-02 minus any of Kennebec County and also minus Waldo County) by only 0.28% (620 votes).  He won what was then ME-01 by 1.33%.  I've seen one print table of Presidential election results by congressional district that considered that result one that would be recount close (if it would help determine who was elected President).  And yes, Maine did have use the Congressional district method back then.  1976 was the second election we did that (in the modern era; several states once used a district method and I think that was the reason Maine split 8-1 J.Q. Adams-Jackson in 1828).

Unfortunately the Atlas doesn't have town information for 1976 even for Atlas members, but it wouldn't surprise me if Carter actually received more votes than Ford in the version of ME-02 that was used from 2004 through 2010 (so just the 2004 and 2010 2008 Presidential elections), which included Waterville and Winslow (although also Waldo County, which Ford carried by 12.34% (1,436 votes), which would bring Ford's margin up to 2,056 votes before any Kennebec County towns are added in).
Logged
Kevinstat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,823


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2014, 08:39:40 PM »

You might also be interested in these two weblogs from 2004.

https://uselectionatlas.org/WEBLOGS/dave/2004/09/02/the-potential-for-split-electors-in-maine/ (the historical results from 1980 on in this post are for the districts that would be used for the first time in 2004)

https://uselectionatlas.org/WEBLOGS/dave/2004/09/26/maine-trend-analysis/
Logged
Indy Texas
independentTX
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,269
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: -3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 26, 2014, 10:20:21 PM »

Perhaps that information is available somewhere on Maine's Secretary of State website (or whatever office is in charge of elections up there).
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 11 queries.