IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
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  IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general
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Author Topic: IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general  (Read 2098 times)
Miles
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« on: May 21, 2014, 01:20:50 PM »
« edited: May 21, 2014, 01:23:28 PM by Miles »

Article.

Primary

Ernst- 34%
Jacobs- 18%
Clovis- 14%
Whitaker-6%

General

Braley (D)- 45%
Ernst (R)- 39%

Braley (D)- 42%
Jacobs (R)- 36%

Braley (D)- 43%
Whitaker (R)- 36%

Braley (D)- 43%
Clovis (R)- 34%

Obama is at 41/53.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2014, 01:22:33 PM »

Jesus. At this rate, Clovis probably beats Jacobs, but Ernst wins by a large margin.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2014, 01:28:44 PM »

It should be noted that all 3 leading Republicans are ahead among Indies in the general election.

Ernst actually leads Braley by 10 among Indies.

Who knows, the race may be a toss-up among likely voters (with a more Republican sample) ...
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: May 21, 2014, 01:39:35 PM »

^ Yeah, this is 38D/34R/28I sample. 2010 was 31D/35R/34I.
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windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2014, 01:41:37 PM »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #5 on: May 21, 2014, 03:31:51 PM »

Republicans should start focusing more resources here. This race is likely more winnable than Michigan.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: May 21, 2014, 03:35:46 PM »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
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windjammer
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« Reply #7 on: May 21, 2014, 03:37:56 PM »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: May 21, 2014, 03:47:23 PM »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

Oh okay. Yeah, this will probably close, but Ernst seems to have the potential to screw the pooch.

Why did Romney endorse her again?
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windjammer
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« Reply #9 on: May 21, 2014, 03:57:35 PM »

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.
the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

Oh okay. Yeah, this will probably close, but Ernst seems to have the potential to screw the pooch.

Why did Romney endorse her again?

Yes, I know, Ernst has the potential to screw the pooch. But she needs to be so awful, and I don't think she's an awful candidate (she's not good too).

But I seriously believe that Iowa has been seriously underestimated.

And for Romney, I don't know, but he's preparing something, I don't know why.
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LeBron
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« Reply #10 on: May 22, 2014, 07:06:54 AM »

Well, looks like it's not going to a convention (sorry Whitaker), but Ernst is still one of the best GOP nominees Braley can get and the Tea Party is bound to blow it here. She's Palin-backed and in typical fashion, has ads of her "shooting/killing" Obamacare. Plus Iowa has never elected a woman to the Senate. As far as I know, she's not as well-funded as self-funder Jacobs is either which only further helps Braley and Ernst isn't even attacking Braley on his gaffe yet. I'm still not to worried about this race.
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Black Bread Pill
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« Reply #11 on: May 22, 2014, 01:21:50 PM »

I guess people forgot about the "farmer" gaffe?
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #12 on: May 23, 2014, 04:40:02 PM »

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-05-19

Summary: D: 45%, R: 39%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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