IA-PPP: Ernst leads GOP field, Braley leads general

[Miles]

Article.

Primary

Ernst- 34%
Jacobs- 18%
Clovis- 14%
Whitaker-6%

General

Braley (D)- 45%
Ernst (R)- 39%

Braley (D)- 42%
Jacobs (R)- 36%

Braley (D)- 43%
Whitaker (R)- 36%

Braley (D)- 43%
Clovis (R)- 34%

Obama is at 41/53.

[Maxwell]

Jesus. At this rate, Clovis probably beats Jacobs, but Ernst wins by a large margin.

[Tender Branson]

It should be noted that all 3 leading Republicans are ahead among Indies in the general election.

Ernst actually leads Braley by 10 among Indies.

Who knows, the race may be a toss-up among likely voters (with a more Republican sample) ...

[Miles]

^ Yeah, this is 38D/34R/28I sample. 2010 was 31D/35R/34I.

[Chief Justice windjammer]

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

[tmthforu94]

Republicans should start focusing more resources here. This race is likely more winnable than Michigan.

[Maxwell]

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.

[Chief Justice windjammer]

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.

the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

[Maxwell]

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.

the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

Oh okay. Yeah, this will probably close, but Ernst seems to have the potential to screw the pooch.

Why did Romney endorse her again?

[Chief Justice windjammer]

Name recognition, this should be closer in the end.

Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley have equal name recognition.

the undecided are more republican than democrat. So yeah, this should get closer when the candidates will be more well-known.

Oh okay. Yeah, this will probably close, but Ernst seems to have the potential to screw the pooch.

Why did Romney endorse her again?

Yes, I know, Ernst has the potential to screw the pooch. But she needs to be so awful, and I don't think she's an awful candidate (she's not good too).

But I seriously believe that Iowa has been seriously underestimated.

And for Romney, I don't know, but he's preparing something, I don't know why.

[LeBron]

Well, looks like it's not going to a convention (sorry Whitaker), but Ernst is still one of the best GOP nominees Braley can get and the Tea Party is bound to blow it here. She's Palin-backed and in typical fashion, has ads of her "shooting/killing" Obamacare. Plus Iowa has never elected a woman to the Senate. As far as I know, she's not as well-funded as self-funder Jacobs is either which only further helps Braley and Ernst isn't even attacking Braley on his gaffe yet. I'm still not to worried about this race.

[Scott🦋]

I guess people forgot about the "farmer" gaffe?

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Iowa Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-05-19

Summary: D: 45%, R: 39%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details