OH-Rassy: Kasich up 7
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  OH-Rassy: Kasich up 7
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Author Topic: OH-Rassy: Kasich up 7  (Read 2635 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 12, 2014, 11:03:01 AM »

Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 45%, FitzGerald (D) 38%

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LeBron
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« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2014, 05:01:24 AM »

Rassy has a terrible record especially in Ohio. In 2008, their last poll had Obama/McCain tied (really Obama +5) and in 2010, their net averages were off by 2 points in the Governor's race and off by 6 points in the Senate race; in both instances giving Kasich and Portman higher leads than what they won by. With that said, Kasich probably is leading by 4-5 in this poll then, but the other polls released recently from Quinnipiac and SurveyUSA still give Kasich that comfortable 7-8 point advantage for now with a FitzGerald comeback very likely. Don't count him out!
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2014, 05:37:16 AM »

Rassy has a terrible record especially in Ohio. In 2008, their last poll had Obama/McCain tied (really Obama +5) and in 2010, their net averages were off by 2 points in the Governor's race and off by 6 points in the Senate race; in both instances giving Kasich and Portman higher leads than what they won by. With that said, Kasich probably is leading by 4-5 in this poll then, but the other polls released recently from Quinnipiac and SurveyUSA still give Kasich that comfortable 7-8 point advantage for now with a FitzGerald comeback very likely. Don't count him out!

Unskewing polls? LoL
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3 on: May 15, 2014, 07:05:18 AM »

That's less than in Quinnipiac's poll.  So much for having an R bias.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #4 on: May 15, 2014, 11:20:44 AM »

New Poll: Ohio Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-05-08

Summary: D: 38%, R: 45%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2014, 05:07:40 PM »

Rassy has a terrible record especially in Ohio. In 2008, their last poll had Obama/McCain tied (really Obama +5) and in 2010, their net averages were off by 2 points in the Governor's race and off by 6 points in the Senate race; in both instances giving Kasich and Portman higher leads than what they won by. With that said, Kasich probably is leading by 4-5 in this poll then, but the other polls released recently from Quinnipiac and SurveyUSA still give Kasich that comfortable 7-8 point advantage for now with a FitzGerald comeback very likely. Don't count him out!

Quinnipac has a better record and has him up double this.
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2014, 05:43:31 PM »

Rassy has a terrible record especially in Ohio. In 2008, their last poll had Obama/McCain tied (really Obama +5) and in 2010, their net averages were off by 2 points in the Governor's race and off by 6 points in the Senate race; in both instances giving Kasich and Portman higher leads than what they won by. With that said, Kasich probably is leading by 4-5 in this poll then, but the other polls released recently from Quinnipiac and SurveyUSA still give Kasich that comfortable 7-8 point advantage for now with a FitzGerald comeback very likely. Don't count him out!

Quinnipac has a better record and has him up double this.

PPP has Kasich up 4
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2014, 05:57:31 PM »

Rassy has a terrible record especially in Ohio. In 2008, their last poll had Obama/McCain tied (really Obama +5) and in 2010, their net averages were off by 2 points in the Governor's race and off by 6 points in the Senate race; in both instances giving Kasich and Portman higher leads than what they won by. With that said, Kasich probably is leading by 4-5 in this poll then, but the other polls released recently from Quinnipiac and SurveyUSA still give Kasich that comfortable 7-8 point advantage for now with a FitzGerald comeback very likely. Don't count him out!

Quinnipac has a better record and has him up double this.

PPP has Kasich up 4

Quinnipiac, of all the pollsters, had the best record in 2010.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2014, 07:44:29 PM »

Damn. Kasich is another one who needs to be put back in his place.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2014, 11:59:30 AM »

Damn. Kasich is another one who needs to be put back in his place.

As in Washington? Tongue
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2014, 12:20:43 PM »

Damn. Kasich is another one who needs to be put back in his place.
Too bad the voters of Ohio disagree with you.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: May 18, 2014, 09:43:43 AM »
« Edited: May 18, 2014, 09:45:45 AM by OC »

Mike DeWine in May 2006 was exactly the same 7 pts ahead of Brown in the Rasmussen poll. PPP has it a close race as well. Fitzgerald won't go away quietly and can make it competettive.

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Hifly
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« Reply #12 on: May 18, 2014, 11:08:45 AM »

Fitzgerald won't go away quietly and can make it competettive.

When is he going to make it competitive?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: May 18, 2014, 11:57:36 AM »

In the PPP polls he have stayed 4-5 pts back.
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Hifly
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« Reply #14 on: May 18, 2014, 12:02:44 PM »

Whatever
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: May 18, 2014, 12:19:18 PM »
« Edited: May 18, 2014, 12:22:29 PM by OC »

This is clearly second tier to MI or Pa or FL. But if there is a surprise on election night expect Fitzgerald or ALG to come through, though
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Hifly
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« Reply #16 on: May 18, 2014, 12:21:13 PM »

bqhatevwr
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #17 on: May 18, 2014, 06:26:11 PM »


Spoken like a true Oxford man.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #18 on: May 19, 2014, 01:14:31 AM »


To be fair, OC was not adding any value, and hifly was responding only as normal people respond to such nonsense.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #19 on: May 19, 2014, 01:31:47 AM »


bqhoosh
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: May 19, 2014, 11:51:03 AM »


Spoken like a true Oxford man.

I was pointing out that how ridiculous the QU poll had Kasich up. Not disputing that he has the lead as everyone.e else pointed out in this thread. But using remarks like that is uncalled for.
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Miles
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« Reply #21 on: May 19, 2014, 12:02:28 PM »

Eh, only 3 points off from FitzGerald's PPP internal. Don't know if thats good or bad.
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