KY-SUSA: Paul 48% Clinton 44% (user search)
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  KY-SUSA: Paul 48% Clinton 44% (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-SUSA: Paul 48% Clinton 44%  (Read 2610 times)
Rockefeller GOP
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Posts: 2,936
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« on: May 18, 2014, 03:22:15 PM »

You'd be quite a fool to think states like West Virginia, Kentucky, Arkansas, etc. are going to behave from now on like they did when Obama was on the ticket ... All three of those states have way more registered Democrats than Republicans, and all three still consistently elect Democrats on the local level.  Against a Republican voters in those states might see as liberal (Christie) or vs. a weak Republican candidate (Cruz), Hillary would have a great shot to win all three.
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Rockefeller GOP
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,936
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2014, 07:30:21 PM »

There are five distinct Clinton-but-not-Obama states that Bill Clinton won twice and Barack Obama got clobbered in -- twice: Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Also of interest will be Georgia and Missouri.


state         Kerry loss  '04    Obama loss '08
         

AR              54-44                       59-39           
KY              59-40                       57-41
LA              57-42                       59-40
TN              57-43                       57-42
WV             56-43                       56-43                 

GA              58-41                       52-47
MO             53-46                       49-49

If you can see a pattern -- tell me what it is. I'd like to know.

2000 would be needed to see a pattern, IMO.  Those are traditionally Democrat-friendly states, some of which still prefer Democrats locally and/or for the Senate, but they're simply not going to vote for a liberal from Massachusetts (and also a lousy candidate) or a Black liberal from Illinois.
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