The popular consensus seems to be that even if Pubs take back the Senate, Dems will bounce back in 2016 and take it back by taking out Toomey, Kirk, and Johnson. Is there any way they could avoid this outcome? What races could Republicans win to result in no change in the Senate? I am seeing Sandoval taking out Reid, and Bennet having the fight of his political life. Are those predictions accurate, and what other races could they go after to defend themselves?
You admit, in the opening of your thread, this is based on the premise that the Republican Party wins over majority control of the U.S. Senate with the midterm elections of 2014.
In the 2004, 2008, and 2012 presidential elections, somewhere in the 70s percentile of states with scheduled U.S. Senate elections saw the
same party carry the given states at both the presidential and senatorial levels. So, the Republicans would retain the U.S. Senate if they win the presidency, in a Republican pickup with Election 2016. If the Democrats hold the presidency, with Election 2016, they would either retain majority control of the U.S. Senate (stemming from retaining it with the midterm elections of 2014) or they would win over majority control (after a 2014 Republican pickup).
Please refer to the following link:@
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=183905.msg3998105#msg3998105
