IL-Gov, WAS: Rauner in the lead
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 07:05:14 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  IL-Gov, WAS: Rauner in the lead
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IL-Gov, WAS: Rauner in the lead  (Read 1501 times)
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 15, 2014, 09:52:13 PM »
« edited: May 15, 2014, 09:58:02 PM by krazen1211 »

Link

Rauner 48.9
Quinn 31.3


Dominating!
Logged
Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,092
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2014, 09:56:17 PM »

>taking Where America Stands polls seriously
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,759
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2014, 12:16:37 PM »

So when Rassy shows a close race, it isnt dominating but when an Indy poll shows a GOP dominance it is taking seriously. Quinn is in the exact same spot against Brady. But the Dem dominance in the state legislature will end.
Logged
Hifly
hifly15
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,937


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2014, 12:20:27 PM »

So when Rassy shows a close race, it isnt dominating but when an Indy poll shows a GOP dominance it is taking seriously.

Because that's what Dominating means. If it's close, it ain't dominating.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,759
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2014, 12:27:08 PM »

Dems are in hot water due to expiration of income tax. When the time comes Quinn will open up on Rauners anti union ways. Rauner has positioned himself as a moderate on SSM.
Logged
Hifly
hifly15
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,937


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2014, 12:30:17 PM »

Tell us some more.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2014, 12:41:45 PM »

Doesn't surprise me, since Quinn's recent Twitter controversy and the new criminal investigation into his Admin.  Splendid news if it's accurate.
Logged
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,174
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.48

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 18, 2014, 12:46:17 PM »

decimals tho

So when Rassy shows a close race, it isnt dominating but when an Indy poll shows a GOP dominance it is taking seriously. Quinn is in the exact same spot against Brady. But the Dem dominance in the state legislature will end.

Do you think Republicans will win the legislature?  The Dem majorities there look pretty robust.
Logged
Hifly
hifly15
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,937


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 18, 2014, 12:49:45 PM »

Republicans will not win the legislature. They will make gains though.
Logged
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,174
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.48

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 18, 2014, 12:55:36 PM »

I said dominance. But GOP will be looking to add 3-6 Senate seats and a turnover may be imminent in 2016.

Why would there be a turnover in 2016, of all cycles? Huh

I know nothing of IL politics, but I would assume that Democrats sort of have built-in majorities for both chambers in Cook County as well as the smaller, liberal cities downstate.  Is that not true?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,759
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 18, 2014, 01:04:35 PM »

Well the Dems are more insulated in House than the Senate due to Speaker Madigan. But the GOP is likely togain3-6 Senate seats  With a narrow control of Senate, Lisa may opt to run for Kirk seat instead of gov
Logged
Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,092
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 18, 2014, 06:39:40 PM »

Once again, this poll has 75% of its respondents above 45, and 40% of them are over 60 (a problem that WAS has failed to correct).

Throw this poll out. The crosstabs are beyond garbage.
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,975


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 18, 2014, 07:29:29 PM »

I think Quinn is done. The state is in distress I see no good reason why voters should re-elect him.
Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2014, 01:04:12 AM »

Here are the cross tabs. Weighted toward the elderly and downstate. Not surprising that they put Rauner up big.

http://www.illinoismirror.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/im_was_govpoll_crosstabs_051214.pdf

Also the idea of Republicans taking the Illinois House is laughable. Beating the supermajority would be what they would focus on. They're not getting control of either of the chambers anywhere but ILGOP's pipedreams.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,759
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2014, 02:03:17 PM »
« Edited: May 19, 2014, 02:07:04 PM by OC »

I think Quinn is done. The state is in distress I see no good reason why voters should re-elect him.

Voters reelected Daley time and time during th he crime wave of 90's. Voters as long: as you have a D after your name in Cook will vote their conscious. This is his last term anyway and he will be the very person, not Rauner to increase min wage.
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: May 20, 2014, 10:33:46 AM »

No wonder the people are seething in rage.

Link

"This is a temporary income tax to deal with an immediate fiscal emergency our state faces, to pay the bills so we don't have severe cutbacks in education, health care, public safety.

— Gov. Pat Quinn, 2011
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: May 20, 2014, 04:34:40 PM »

No wonder the people are seething in rage.

Link

"This is a temporary income tax to deal with an immediate fiscal emergency our state faces, to pay the bills so we don't have severe cutbacks in education, health care, public safety.

— Gov. Pat Quinn, 2011

C'mon, you can't use something more recent?
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: May 20, 2014, 04:35:47 PM »

No wonder the people are seething in rage.

Link

"This is a temporary income tax to deal with an immediate fiscal emergency our state faces, to pay the bills so we don't have severe cutbacks in education, health care, public safety.

— Gov. Pat Quinn, 2011

C'mon, you can't use something more recent?

I think that's his point.
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: May 20, 2014, 07:22:46 PM »
« Edited: May 20, 2014, 07:24:50 PM by krazen1211 »

No wonder the people are seething in rage.

Link

"This is a temporary income tax to deal with an immediate fiscal emergency our state faces, to pay the bills so we don't have severe cutbacks in education, health care, public safety.

— Gov. Pat Quinn, 2011

C'mon, you can't use something more recent?

Hmm? It is that very quote and the others linked that is the source of this treachery. Fool me once...

Now Quinn is backtracking, along with Senate President John Cullerton and House Speaker Michael Madigan. They want the tax increase to become permanent.
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 02, 2014, 08:19:47 PM »

I still have Pat Quinn surviving re-election by a slim margin due to high Democratic turnout in Cook County. While Cook County alone won't secure Quinn's re-election, it will definitely be a contributing factor to it.
Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,838
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 04, 2014, 10:35:42 AM »

PPP needs to do this race
Logged
TX Conservative Dem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,336
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 04, 2014, 08:32:43 PM »

Regardless, Quinn is done politically either this year or in 2018.

Folks in Illinois are getting sick and tired of him.
Logged
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 05, 2014, 12:27:55 AM »

Not surprised that this is where America stands.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: June 06, 2014, 09:58:18 AM »

If you read the article, it mentions another poll around the same time that shows Rauner leading by 19 points, so I doubt this is a fluke.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.052 seconds with 14 queries.