India 2014 - Results

[Vosem]

So what will happen to Congress after this wipeout?

As India's traditional governing party, and probably the only truly national party since the BJP is still weak in Dravidian areas, I have a feeling the INC will regroup and survive. Fianna Fail and the Canadian Liberals (also traditional governing parties, albeit in more developed countries) were handed much more severe defeats in 2011, and neither died of it.

[jaichind]

DMK has zero seats in TN.  Had they had a tie-up with INC at least DMK-INC could have pulled off some high single digit seats together.  As it is both are headed toward zero.

[jaichind]

INC will overcome this.  That NDA has a clear majority with BJP itself close to majority means that Modi would have no excuses.  As problems takes place the Modi magic would dissipate and the INC would gain.   

[RogueBeaver]

Yeah. It'll take a while to regroup but hopefully they do. NDA just went over the top in NDTV's count, 272 seats.

[Vosem]

DMK has zero seats in TN.  Had they had a tie-up with INC at least DMK-INC could have pulled off some high single digit seats together.  As it is both are headed toward zero.

Still a deeply disappointing result, of course, but isn't the INC leading in Theni? 1 is better than 0.

[jaichind]

Wow, INC has zero in Assam.  This is a shock.  I guess AUDF votes did not go to INC AND INC lost a bunch of votes to BJP AND AGP votes all went to BJP.

[Famous Mortimer]

So, what did Congress do to deserve this? I thought the whole Singh era was pretty non-eventful.

[jaichind]

So, what did Congress do to deserve this? I thought the whole Singh era was pretty non-eventful.

A bunch of scams took place and GDP growth for India slowed since 2009 as well as high inflation.  It will not be easy for Modi to change this.  We will see.

[jaichind]

BJP looks like it will just miss getting a majority on its own.  I think NDA is looking at being around 310 which is about what NDA got back in 1999.

[jaichind]

Biggest batches of seats without trends are in Orissa, Jhkarhand, Bihar and UP.  In other words, tribal areas.

[moderatevoter]

Some people also see the Congress as weak in foreign policy, particularly towards Pakistan (post 26/11).

Like said earlier, I think INC will rebound, particularly as the pendulum swings back.

[ag]

This is tragic. A Nazi PM of India is dangerous for the world.

[jaichind]

BJP wins a seat in Kerela.  A breakthrough.  Although back in 2004 NDA did win a seat in Kerela as well.

[jaichind]

INC actually doing well in Orissa.  Mostly has to do with BJP taking away votes from BJD and letting INC in.  On the other hand AAP took away INC votes and allowed SAD-BJP to do well in Punjab.

[Maez]

Ajit Singh has lost election.

[jaichind]

Looking at Bihar, UP, and Assam results it seems that the hope of UPA Muslim consolidate did not take place.

[Maez]

Current NDTV projections show the TDP taking power in AP after 10 years, with a few dozen seats still left to call. TRS seems to be very close to taking a majority in Telangana by itself.

[jaichind]

Indian markets up 4%.  This is on top of a surge last month on expected victory of NDA.  

[Maez]

BJP+ has cleared 300, according to NDTV.

[jaichind]

LJP's gamble worked.  LJP won 3 seats in Bihar.

[ag]

Guys, just keep in mind, a lot of these leads are based on a few thousand votes (mostly postal) each. Though, of course, it is clear that BJP wins big, for each particular seat we should not, yet, be very confident.

Though it does seem likely that BJP will win Trivandrum.

[jaichind]

Based on trends, BJP will end up with 265 to 270 seats.  If somehow it wins over 272 then it will be the first single party majority in Indian elections since 1984.

[Maez]

The INC cabinet is getting annihilated. BJP is doing a clean sweep in Gujurat.

[MaxQue]

Based on trends, BJP will end up with 265 to 270 seats.  If somehow it wins over 272 then it will be the first single party majority in Indian elections since 1984.

If BJP get a majority, would they rule alone or keep NDA?

[jaichind]

Based on trends, BJP will end up with 265 to 270 seats.  If somehow it wins over 272 then it will be the first single party majority in Indian elections since 1984.

If BJP get a majority, would they rule alone or keep NDA?

Pretty sure they will keep NDA since BJP does not have majority in upper house.