NBC-Marist: Pryor up 11, KY tied, Perdue leads Nunn by 4 in GA

[windjammer]

LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL
Pryor isn't up by 11.

[windjammer]

I might be time to move this to Lean D.

Gass, please wait! It's too early  to do that.

[windjammer]

Hmm... so PPP and TB find similar crosstabs, yet both have MOE leads for Pryor and both candidates underwater. Someone's very wrong. I'll take the pollsters who have a solid reputation in Arkansas.

Me too.

PPP and TB are much more accurate.

[windjammer]

Ha, this is wrong.  I do not see a 18 point gap between Pryor and Ross.  I don't see something like this happening.  I have been talking to  people over the past few years, and they are tired of Pryor, and they hold him with Obama.

Jerryarkansas,
I can tell you a lot of French people who thought that Sarkozy would have been reelected in 2012, even if he was definitely trailing Hollande. I can tell you the same thing for some other election, where some Royal supporters thought she would win in 2007,...

And yes, this poll is wrong but your arguments are wrong too.

[windjammer]

I have been talking to  people over the past few years, and they are tired of Pryor, and they hold him with Obama.

You've been talking to a scientific sample of a broad cross-section of Arkansans?  I'm impressed!

I have not, but, I have been talking to the olds for my state, the one's who will vote more, and they are pissed.  

Ha, this is wrong.  I do not see a 18 point gap between Pryor and Ross.  I don't see something like this happening.  I have been talking to  people over the past few years, and they are tired of Pryor, and they hold him with Obama.

Jerryarkansas,
I can tell you a lot of French people who thought that Sarkozy would have been reelected in 2012, even if he was definitely trailing Hollande. I can tell you the same thing for some other election, where some Royal supporters thought she would win in 2007,...

And yes, this poll is wrong but your arguments are wrong too.

I know my state.  If pryor wins, I will admit I was wrong, but until then, I hold he will lose

You have not only said said that Pryor will lose, you have said he'sgoing Blanche.
I'm saying this race will be extremely competitive, I don't rule out a Cotton win at all (that's clearly a possibility, 50/50 right now I guess).
But your analysis of this senate race has always been ultra party-line, and sorry, but skewed too.
Pryor isn't going Blanche.
Your analysis of this race is totally wrong if Cotton fails to destroy Pryor. And that's likely. He will never win by a bigger margin than 10.

[windjammer]

There's a good enough chance that Pryor wins this in a landslide, if he manages to distance himself enough from the Obama-brand and establish a more localized popular AR-version of himself.

I could really see him crushing the political novice Cotton in the end ...

Tender Branson, don't be so optimistic, tt would surprise me a lot if he crush Cotton. This race will be extremely competitive until the end.

Although Pryor, if he wins, could really thank Cotton, who definitely isn't a good fit for Arkansas. Griffin would have been much more difficult to beat.

[windjammer]

Not to mention that a poll from your precious PPP only a few days earlier had Pryor leading by only 1 point.

Seriously oldiesfreak, have you read my posts?

I have said this poll is F-L-A-W-E-D

[windjammer]

There's a good enough chance that Pryor wins this in a landslide

If he highlights the fact the he supported a state minimum wage increase, and covers up the fact that he opposed a federal minimum wage increase, there is a very good chance of it.

Would you vote for him Bandit?