NBC-Marist: Pryor up 11, KY tied, Perdue leads Nunn by 4 in GA

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I've seen the internals, and there were 8% more Democrats in the Pryor poll. Clearly, it was skewed their way, but also saw him with more support from Independents. There is also the fact that they surveyed RVs, not LVs. LV polls, like Magellan, show a very different story

Are we really going to go through this BS again?!

AR has a D+10 registration advantage, they just don't vote for Democrats at the National level. Trust the data, not your gut.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I've seen the internals, and there were 8% more Democrats in the Pryor poll. Clearly, it was skewed their way, but also saw him with more support from Independents. There is also the fact that they surveyed RVs, not LVs. LV polls, like Magellan, show a very different story

Are we really going to go through this BS again?!

AR has a D+10 registration advantage, they just don't vote for Democrats at the National level. Trust the data, not your gut.

Just because there are more doesn't mean they are all going out to vote, particularly in a midterm. I don't trust RV polls. That's that.

No it doesn't and that's my point. In states like AR, D+x registration doesn't reflect how a state is going to vote. Just saying the poll is rubbish because it has more Democrats reflects that the state has more Democrats.

It's way too early to trust likely voter polls anyway.