WI-PPP: Hillary leads everyone

[pbrower2a]

Truely amazing numbers.
I guess this will put to rest the Walker euphoria once and for all.

I asked PPP to poll on Walker vs. Clinton.  See the comments.

In my case it was more morbid curiosity about whether Scott Walker could establish a 'heroic crusade' against liberalism.

I also suggested the baseball preference. After 'only' 40-some years the Brewers are about as well-entrenched in Wisconsin as the Detroit Tigers are entrenched in Michigan after a century.

[pbrower2a]

Truely amazing numbers.
I guess this will put to rest the Walker euphoria once and for all.

The Favorite Son effect is usually worth about 10% -- before-after (both ways -- see Texas between 1996 and 2008), neighboring-but-similar states (contrast Michigan and Ohio in 1976), and effective campaigns/candidates vs. ineffective campaigns/candidates. South Dakota was one of the strongest states for George McGovern in 1972. The only condition in which it seems to not apply is max-out situations (Obama actually outdid Kerry in Massachusetts).


From Iowa came one portent:

45.9% HILLARY CLINTON
40.4% SCOTT WALKER

by a right-wing media site.

Republicans aren't going to lose Iowa by 6% or Wisconsin by 7% and win the Presidential election.