CO-Quinnipiac: Clinton trails Paul, ties or leads others. Bush does worst.

[pbrower2a]

Quinnipiac has typically undercounted Hispanic voters because its polling methods do not reach them effectively. Q is OK in other states at that, but probably not in Colorado.

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That is what I would expect in Texas -- but not in Colorado.

Q is very good in states other than Colorado. It could be that Quinnipiac pollsters ar bad at reaching Hispanics.

[pbrower2a]

I don't understand your criticism of Quinnipiac in Colorado:

Quinnipiac only polled CO in 2008 and 2012 and in 2008 they had one of the best final CO polls out there, showing Obama winning by 9 (he won by 9).

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/presidential-swing-states-%28co-mi-mn-and-wi%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1220

...

In 2012, Quinnipiac conducted their CO poll right after Obama's disaster of first debate and of course Romney was up by 1 in this one. Too bad they didn't release a final poll closer to the election.

But in general, Quinnipiac is a solid pollster and they had good results in 2012.

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There's another simple explanation for CO and Hillary: She suxx in this state (but that can change during the actual 2016 campaign between summer and election day).

Quinnipiac did get the late charge of the Democrats. It may have the demographics now set to a midterm election, which will be far more relevant in November 2014 (results of which Q must position itself for now) than for 2016 (by which time it will have plenty of time to put the Presidential-year model in place).

Q now has a good model in place for November 2014, and a horrid one for November 2016. Which would you rather have now?  I say 2014 for everything but the Presidency.