Do you really think MS would be a Dem pick up...

[Keystone Phil]

Do you really think MS would be a Dem pick up if Chris McDaniel is the GOP Senate nominee?

No (I have functioning brain cells)

[ElectionsGuy]

No

[Joshgreen]

Yes (non-hack)

If Illinois could be a Republican pickup, then Mississippi can be a Democratic pickup. Is it likely? No. Is it possible? Absolutely.

[Keystone Phil]

Yes (non-hack)

If Illinois could be a Republican pickup, then Mississippi can be a Democratic pickup. Is it likely? No. Is it possible? Absolutely.

...Illinois was a Republican pick up in a great Republican year. Mississippi is going to be a Dem pick up in a good Republican year? What?

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

If:

1) Obamacare started working super-amazingly
2) McDaniels started to "do an Akin" every other day
3) Childers is endorsed by an angry and resentful Cochran
4) Childers personally punches a meteorite from the sky à la Bruce Willis

then maybe, just possibly, there is the slightest of opportunities for a pick up for Democrats.

[Joshgreen]

Yes (non-hack)

If Illinois could be a Republican pickup, then Mississippi can be a Democratic pickup. Is it likely? No. Is it possible? Absolutely.

...Illinois was a Republican pick up in a great Republican year. Mississippi is going to be a Dem pick up in a good Republican year? What?

We don't know that this will be a good Republican year.

[Keystone Phil]

Yes (non-hack)

If Illinois could be a Republican pickup, then Mississippi can be a Democratic pickup. Is it likely? No. Is it possible? Absolutely.

...Illinois was a Republican pick up in a great Republican year. Mississippi is going to be a Dem pick up in a good Republican year? What?

We don't know that this will be a good Republican year.

Ok, thanks for calling in.

[moderatevoter]

Doubtful, but with McDaniel, there is an opening.

[Donerail]

Would be, no. Could be, certainly. What McDaniel winning would do is move it into the realm of possibility - as likely as the GOP picking up somewhere like New Hampshire or Virginia.

[Maxwell]

It depends on how gaffe prone McDaniels really is and how strong Childers really is, and I doubt either one is true. Worst case scenario, McDaniels pulls out with the narrowest of margins against Childers after saying something horrifying.

[windjammer]

Doubtful, but with McDaniel, there is an opening.

[Consciously Unconscious]

It's about as likely as Republicans picking up Virginia. 

[IceSpear]

Doubtful, but with McDaniel, there is an opening.

This.

His probability of pulling off the upset would be slightly higher than Corbett's odds of winning re-election.

[SWE]

Doubtful, but with McDaniel, there is an opening.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

No, it's just too inelastic. Republicans would still win by a few points.

[Zioneer]

Doubtful, but with McDaniel, there is an opening.

[7,052,770]

This is a difficult question to answer since McDaniel is unlikely to be the nominee.  Whatever fundamental change in the race that would necessary for him to be the nominee would also have an effect on the general election.

But as it stands today, Childers vs. McDaniel is about as favorable of a matchup as Democrats could possibly get in Mississippi.  It's a shame we potentially get this race in 2014 instead of a better year for Democrats nationally.

[DrScholl]

Yes, never underestimate a hardcore Republican's propensity to test the limits of a state's electorate.

[Ichabod]

Yes (non-hack)

If Illinois could be a Republican pickup, then Mississippi can be a Democratic pickup. Is it likely? No. Is it possible? Absolutely.

...Illinois was a Republican pick up in a great Republican year. Mississippi is going to be a Dem pick up in a good Republican year? What?

We don't know that this will be a good Republican year.

Ok, thanks for calling in.

Don't forget that 2 and 1/2 years ago, people were pretty sure that Republicans were going to increase their caucus in the Senate

[Joshgreen]

It's about as likely as Republicans picking up Virginia. 

The difference being that Warner isn't a joke candidate like McDaniel.

[morgieb]

Probably not, but at least it gives them an opening. Most likely though if McDaniel won the primary he'd win tougher than it ought to be, and the seat would look very vulnerable going into 2020.

[TDAS04]

No.

[free my dawg]

I'd say it Leans R with McDaniel, tbh.

[Orser67]

McDaniel is favored, but it's pretty easy to see him making an Akin-level gaffe.

[nolesfan2011]

It depends on how gaffe prone McDaniels really is and how strong Childers really is, and I doubt either one is true. Worst case scenario, McDaniels pulls out with the narrowest of margins against Childers after saying something horrifying.

agreed, Ronnie Musgrove was much more popular than Childers, and he was on the ballot in 2008 when it was a strong Dem turnout year (African American voters being a huge part of the Dem base in MS) and he didn't come close to winning against Wicker, so Childers could break 45% but not 50+1