Summary of the six / four latest presidential elections.
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 12:24:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Summary of the six / four latest presidential elections.
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Summary of the six / four latest presidential elections.  (Read 5465 times)

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 28, 2014, 04:18:50 PM »
« edited: April 30, 2014, 08:55:04 AM by excelsus »

The map below displays which counties have consistently been conquered by one single party throughout the last six elections.

Red denotes the Democratic candidates, blue the GOP nominees.
Violet (or whatever you wanna call that color) denotes shifts in partisan views.

P.S.: I can't find any data for Alaska for 1992 and 1996. It's highly likely that Perot could have won one or two boroughs, so I haven't wanted to complete the map yet. Can anyone of you help me?



Logged
retromike22
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,452
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2014, 03:13:03 PM »
« Edited: April 02, 2014, 01:10:37 AM by retromike »

Very impressive! That Indiana/Western Ohio patch of GOP blue stands out to me. Also the grayness of Eastern OK, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia stand out. I think... if there was a map that had only 2000-2012, it would look much different.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2014, 03:57:18 PM »

Good stuff excelsus! I'm enjoying looking at this.

Places that have trending hard towards republicans:


 - Northeastern Mississippi
 - Most of Arkansas
 - Most of Louisiana (especially the southwestern area)
 - Northern Alabama
 - Non-Eastern Tennessee (besides Nashville/Memphis)
 - Non-South Central Kentucky (besides Louisville/Lexington)
 - Most of West Virginia
 - Eastern and North Central Texas
 - Eastern and Southern Oklahoma
 - Non-Southwestern Missouri (Besides St. Louis/Kansas City)
 - Southern Illinois
 - Southern (mostly southwestern) Indiana
 - Southeastern Ohio
 - Southwestern Pennsylvania outside Pittsburgh
 - The Florida Panhandle (specifically the rural areas just outside Tallahassee)
 - Southwestern and Western Virginia
 - Rural Wyoming, Utah, Nevada, and Arizona

Places that have trended hard towards democrats:

 - Rural New England, specifically Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine
 - Central Upstate New York and NYC suburbs (as well as NYC itself)
 - Northern Virginia, the Richmond area (and suburbs), and Southeastern Virginia
 - The "Research Triangle" in North Carolina, as well as
 - Southern California outside Imperial County (moderately republican turned moderately democrat)
 - Portland and Seattle (and their respective suburbs)
 - Chicago and its Suburbs
 - Philadelphia and its Suburbs
 - New Jersey, mostly Eastern and Northeastern.
 - Delaware
 - "Eye-4-corridor" (or whatever) in Florida, as well as Southeastern Florida.
 - Jackson area in Mississippi
 - Southern and Southwestern Texas (as well as San Antonio and Austin)
 - Central and the bay area in California

Tell me if I missed any, but these seem to be the main ones.
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2014, 06:44:59 PM »


Tell me if I missed any, but these seem to be the main ones.


You forgot Northern Idaho.

Btw, there are only two states each of whose counties have unanimously gone for the same party since 1992.
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2014, 06:53:00 PM »

Very impressive! That Indiana/Western Ohio patch of GOP blue stands out to me. Also the grayness of Eastern OK, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia stand out. I think... if there was a map that had only 2000-2016, it would look much different.

Also, I hadn't expected Nebraska to be so homogeneously Republican before making this map.
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 29, 2014, 07:53:20 PM »

- "Eye-4-corridor" (or whatever) in Florida, as well as Southeastern Florida.

What they're talking about is I-4, a road that stretches from Daytona Beach to Tampa Bay and it's trending Democratic because it's a high tourist area (never drive on that road, too many crashes because of terrible tourist drivers) and most people refer to it as this part of the state:

Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 29, 2014, 08:17:23 PM »

Thanks for the information, Flo. I had know clue what ElectionsGuy meant with "eye-4 corridor".
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 29, 2014, 09:20:19 PM »

Thanks for the information, Flo. I had know clue what ElectionsGuy meant with "eye-4 corridor".

Sorry about that its just something I hear constantly but never used as a phrase so I didn't know how to say it. Basically Tampa/Pinellas/Orlando/Central Florida
Logged
Simfan34
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 29, 2014, 09:21:53 PM »

Magnum opus, but this is otherwise very neat!
Logged
Nichlemn
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,920


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 29, 2014, 11:01:45 PM »

The gray is mostly swing counties and "Clinton South" areas. So it shouldn't be particularly surprising that there's a lot of blue in places like Nebraska or Indiana, as Clinton didn't have an unusually high appeal to rural voters there.
Logged
Orser67
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,947
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 30, 2014, 08:04:42 PM »

Magnum opus, but this is otherwise very neat!

Magnum opus literally means "great work" in Latin. Maximum is the superlative form of magnum, so the phrase could be translated to mean "greatest work." I've heard the term "maxima cum laude" used in a similar way.

Anyway, great job.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,808
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 30, 2014, 10:32:14 PM »


Tell me if I missed any, but these seem to be the main ones.


You forgot Northern Idaho.

Btw, there are only two states each of whose counties have unanimously gone for the same party since 1992.

There are 3.
Logged
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,952
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 30, 2014, 10:43:53 PM »

Nice job!

I think Sheboygan County, Wisconsin voted (pretty narrowly) for Bill Clinton in 1996 though so it should be gray instead of blue.

(Sorry for being the one random jerk who points out a mistake)
Logged
BaconBacon96
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,678
Ireland, Republic of


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 31, 2014, 02:06:43 AM »

How fascinating...

Bravo, great work.
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 31, 2014, 02:12:45 AM »

(Sorry for being the one random jerk who points out a mistake)

Maybe I'm going to forgive you one day...

Does anybody see any further mistakes?
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 31, 2014, 03:23:41 PM »

(Sorry for being the one random jerk who points out a mistake)

Maybe I'm going to forgive you one day...

Does anybody see any further mistakes?

Texas. Bush won Travis County in '00 and Obama won Dallas County both times, so they should both be grey.
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 31, 2014, 07:02:29 PM »


Texas. Bush won Travis County in '00 and Obama won Dallas County both times, so they should both be grey.

OMG. Why do I make such silly mistakes? Angry

I should tear the map apart and throw it in the wastebasket.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 01, 2014, 06:35:37 PM »


Texas. Bush won Travis County in '00 and Obama won Dallas County both times, so they should both be grey.

OMG. Why do I make such silly mistakes? Angry

I should tear the map apart and throw it in the wastebasket.

Don't be mad, we humans have a tendency to rush things and generalize to get things done quicker. It's a great map, I just happened to notice one mistake. I would just look over it one more time with all 6 years of data.

By the way, how did you create this thing?
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 01, 2014, 10:02:54 PM »

Don't be mad, we humans have a tendency to rush things and generalize to get things done quicker. It's a great map, I just happened to notice one two mistakes. I would just look over it one more time with all 6 years of data.

By the way, how did you create this thing?

Handicraft...
Logged
Napoleon
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,892


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 01, 2014, 10:13:51 PM »

You should make this same map for onlg the last four and then another for the last two and we can see how it compares.
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: April 02, 2014, 07:13:12 PM »

You should make this same map for onlg the last four and then another for the last two and we can see how it compares.

I did it. Smiley
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: April 18, 2014, 03:50:16 PM »

Follow-up question:

Which states entirely consist of counties, all of which didn't change their support for one and the same party the last four times?
(Bizarrely, I didn't recognize it while making those maps.)
Logged
Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: April 18, 2014, 05:35:11 PM »

Follow-up question:

Which states entirely consist of counties, all of which didn't change their support for one and the same party the last four times?
(Bizarrely, I didn't recognize it while making those maps.)

Massachusetts and Rhode Island Tongue
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: April 18, 2014, 05:39:16 PM »

Follow-up question:

Which states entirely consist of counties, all of which didn't change their support for one and the same party the last four times?
(Bizarrely, I didn't recognize it while making those maps.)

Massachusetts and Rhode Island Tongue

There are even more states that fulfill the condition. Tongue Tongue Tongue
Logged

excelsus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 692
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: April 19, 2014, 01:42:40 AM »
« Edited: April 30, 2014, 08:54:41 AM by excelsus »

Follow-up question:

Which states entirely consist of counties, all of which didn't change their support for one and the same party the last four times?
(Bizarrely, I didn't recognize it while making those maps.)

Massachusetts and Rhode Island Tongue

There are even more states that fulfill the condition. Tongue Tongue Tongue

Hawaii! Cheesy


But I can't see anymore after that

Hawaii, Rhode Island and Massachusetts are the trivial answers.
However, there's a fourth state that doesn't stare in one's face at once...
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 12 queries.