So, when can I expect to see the pundits move this race to Likely D?
When they start mistaking Tom Udall for Mark Udall.
Typical status quo here. Udall's approval reflects the match-ups, but I would have liked to see a primary poll between Clements and Weh. Weh benefits from name recognition from his last statewide run, is an honored veteran, and was the former chair of the state party. Though it was in 2010 when Weh lost to Martinez who's from the same county that Clements is, so losing twice in a row to someone from Doņa Ana would actually be pretty funny. Still safe D no matter what.