MT: Rasmussen: Daines by 14 (user search)
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  MT: Rasmussen: Daines by 14 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT: Rasmussen: Daines by 14  (Read 2734 times)
Joshgreen
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Posts: 360
« on: March 20, 2014, 10:15:43 AM »

Lean Republican, if only because we don't have a firm grasp on Walsh's name ID. Basically he's generic D at this point. I expect the polling to tighten as Walsh defines himself. Daines obviously favored but the Dems putting up a fight in the house race is probably beneficial to Walsh.
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Joshgreen
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Posts: 360
« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2014, 06:13:14 PM »

Likely R. Daines would have to screw up big time to give Dems a real chance here.

Not at all. Walsh needs to increase his name ID. When he does, this race will tighten.
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Joshgreen
Jr. Member
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Posts: 360
« Reply #2 on: March 22, 2014, 07:54:55 PM »

I honestly believe Daines is favored. But it will be closer with recognition, something like a 6-8 margin in the end. That's why I believe this race is still "lean rep", instead "likely rep".
I think the margin won't be that close, maybe closer to 8 to 10 points by election day.

Yeah no.
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