SC-PrimR: Gravis: Graham clears 50%

[Miles]

Report.

Graham- 54%
Bright- 10%
Mace- 7%
Cash- 4%
Connor- 2%

[ElectionsGuy]

Graham's going to win, there's pretty much no doubt there. The thing to watch will be the 50% line though, whether he can or can't avoid a runoff.

[hopper]

Geez the Tea Party couldn't find a better candidate to take on Graham.

[Joshgreen]

Graham's going to win, there's pretty much no doubt there. The thing to watch will be the 50% line though, whether he can or can't avoid a runoff.

If John Cornyn only got 59% against his non-opponents, no way Graham clears 50%. He would be Dewhurst in the runoff.

[ElectionsGuy]

Graham's going to win, there's pretty much no doubt there. The thing to watch will be the 50% line though, whether he can or can't avoid a runoff.

If John Cornyn only got 59% against his non-opponents, no way Graham clears 50%. He would be Dewhurst in the runoff.

If the most a single opponent is getting is 10%, why would he beat Graham in the runoff? This is not anything relatable to TX Lt. Governor.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Report.

Graham- 54%
Bright- 10%
Mace- 7%
Cash- 4%
Connor- 2%

Actually, that 54% number is from their poll just after Thanksgiving.  In the poll just released, Graham is at 60%.  (They included both bar charts on their webpage, which likely accounted for the confusion.)

Graham has been spending heavily on the ad buys and it looks like it has been working.

[LeBron]

Harper and Graham's internal had him above 50% to, so if Bright is actually struggling to keep above double digits, then he very well could beat out Cornyn's numbers. Unfortunately, hawkie is staying in Congress and if Ravenel does run, he likely won't make the kind of impact that Pressler could. This should encourage SC Dems to stay out of this race now and put their main focus on unseating Haley.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Harper and Graham's internal had him above 50% to, so if Bright is actually struggling to keep above double digits, then he very well could beat out Cornyn's numbers. Unfortunately, hawkie is staying in Congress and if Ravenel does run, he likely won't make the kind of impact that Pressler could. This should encourage SC Dems to stay out of this race now and put their main focus on unseating Haley.

Haley's safe unless she has a scandal or flub between now and November.  The statewide offices they need to concentrate on are Superintendent of Education and Lieutenant Governor since they are both open races.  Maybe Comptroller General in case Richard Eckstrom's troubles prove more damaging than then currently appear to be.  They also need to run more candidates in the downballot races.  Sheheen's job this fall will not be to run for governor himself, but to be the Democratic standard bearer and hopefully help win the Dems some open seats even tho at best he's warming up for 2018.