Warrick County Clerk Discovers 3,791 Uncounted Ballots (user search)
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  Warrick County Clerk Discovers 3,791 Uncounted Ballots (search mode)
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Author Topic: Warrick County Clerk Discovers 3,791 Uncounted Ballots  (Read 2609 times)
ElectionAtlas
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« on: March 08, 2014, 10:59:03 AM »
« edited: March 08, 2014, 11:03:49 AM by Dave Leip »

The Warrick County, Indiana Clerk has recently announced a discovery that 3,791 early ballots cast in the 2012 General Election were left uncounted in the official results published. 

An analysis of the normalized turnout of the county (subtracting the statewide turnout vs. registered voters from the county turnout vs. registered voters) shows the following data:

YearRegCountyStateDifference
201249,97149.4%57.7%-8.3%
200846,71861.5%61.1%0.4%
200443,32960.1%57.4%2.7%
200039,01657.2%55.1%2.1%
199631,58266.8%61.2%5.6%
199227,53974.9%72.5%2.4%
198823,72578.2%75.7%2.5%
198422,70173.3%73.2%0.1%
198020,62980.3%76.1%4.2%

The mean from 1980-2008 is 2.5 with the standard deviation of 1.69.  the -8.3 is 6.4 standard deviations from the mean.  Very likely an error in total votes recorded in Warrick.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2014, 06:56:26 AM »

I have been sent the new report post-audit from Warrick County and the results have been modified on the atlas.

Enjoy,
Dave
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