IL-Tribune/WGN (R): Rauner up 13

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No matter who wins nomination, Quinn positioned himself as the alternative, to these conservative businessmen, who rejects min wage increase.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rauner isn't especially conservative.  He's pro-choice and supports gay marriage, which may help him in the suburbs.  However, I fear his lack of experience and tendency to make gaffes may be too much to overcome against Illinois' infamous Democrat machine.
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And his gaffe on reducing min wage by 1.00, made him look like an out of touch businessman who doesn't care about poor or elderly with his poor business dealings with nursing homes.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Suburban Cook always come through for Dems because they know how important OHare is. Speed rail and airlines are our future mass transportation. Just like they saved Blago against Topinka, another endangered incumbant.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But that was in 2006, which was a good Dem year nationally.
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That's why Vallas is the LT Gov nominee. Had it not been for Burris winning the urban areas, Vallas would have beaten Blago in 2002 primaries. Blago ran up the score in downstate, while Vallas did well in Sububan Cook.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, but the state legislature is so gerrymandered with Cook Dems, it is possible Quinn can lose 98/102 counties like he did last time. Quinn doesn't win polls until Election Day. He was trailing Hynes and Brady by 7 pt margins, and expect to do same.