PA-Quinnipiac: Wolf eats Gov. Corbett alive

[Tender Branson]

Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett has a negative 36 - 52 percent approval rating, nearly matching his worst net score ever, and trails several possible Democratic challengers, especially York County businessman Tom Wolf, who tops the Republican incumbent 52 - 33 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters say 55 - 34 percent that Gov. Corbett does not deserve reelection, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Matchups against other Democratic contenders show:

U.S. Rep. Allyson Schwartz leads Corbett 44 - 38 percent;

State Treasurer Rob McCord is ahead 43 - 36 percent;

Former State Environmental Protection Secretary John Hanger gets 40 percent to Corbett's 37 percent;

Former presidential advisor Katie McGinty gets 40 percent to Corbett's 38 percent;

Former State Auditor General Jack Wagner over Corbett 44 - 37 percent.

...

From February 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,405 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2012

[Tender Branson]

If this poll became true on election day, Keystone Phil would finally be relieved of his 2006 Santorum-trauma (losing by what ? 18 points ?) ...

[Vega]

It's excellent that all of the candidates could easily beat Corporate, I mean Corbett.

I predict that Wolf will win the primary, with Schwartz coming in second. And McCord following.

[Adam Griffin]

Corbett can pretend this isn't happening: he just has to close his eyes.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Somebody, please, primary Corbett!

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Somebody, please, primary Corbett!

A bit late for that.

[publicunofficial]

Somebody, please, primary Corbett!

And you were so sure it would happen too. Pity.

[henster]

Wolf gets 22% of the Republican vote significantly higher than any other Democrat if he can keep this type of crossover appeal he's on the road to a 60%+ blowout.

[ElectionsGuy]

Wow, is this a Likely D race now? Surprised Schwartz actually doesn't do very well.

Somebody, please, primary Corbett!

Sorry man, it doesn't look like its gonna happen.

[DrScholl]

Corbett facing a primary would be just like Blanche Lincoln facing a primary, he'd win it and still go on to lose. Polling has shown that he'd prevail against a primary challenge.

[Mr. Morden]

Wow, is this a Likely D race now? Surprised Schwartz actually doesn't do very well.

The favorability/unfavorability #s are:

Corbett 38/46
McCord 13/8
Schwartz 20/13
Hanger 8/6
McGinty 11/6
Wolf 42/9
Wagner 21/11

So Wolf just has notably higher name recognition than any of the other Dems.  If the other candidates are able to put more ads on the air, then they'll start doing better too.

[Badger]

Interesting that none of the Democrats other than Wolf do very well in head-to-head matchups with Corbett. All favorites if they get the nom (with the possible exception of Hanger), as I suspect only a minority of the undecideds will go back to Corbett at this point, but it'd at least be a race from these numbers.