The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 50725 times)
Miles
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« Reply #25 on: March 04, 2014, 09:39:56 PM »


Yeah; for a perennial Some Dude, he is. He's from Corpus Christie but he's blowing out Davis in some of the counties around the Rio Gande valley.
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Vega
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: March 04, 2014, 09:40:53 PM »


Yeah; for a perennial Some Dude, he is. He's from Corpus Christie but he's blowing out Davis in some of the counties around the Rio Gande valley.

Indeed, I'm quite shocked. And if he was not some perennial dude with no money, he actually might win.

Did he even run any ads?
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Flake
JacobTiver
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: March 04, 2014, 09:44:21 PM »


Yeah; for a perennial Some Dude, he is. He's from Corpus Christie but he's blowing out Davis in some of the counties around the Rio Gande valley.

Indeed, I'm quite shocked. And if he was not some perennial dude with no money, he actually might win.

Did he even run any ads?

He will not win, Davis is leading by 60 points right now.
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Indy Texas
independentTX
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« Reply #28 on: March 04, 2014, 09:44:32 PM »

The TX State Senate could be getting considerably more conservative in January. Three of the chamber's most moderate Republicans - John Carona (Dallas), Bob Deuell (Greenville) and Kel Seliger (Amarillo) are facing strong Tea Party challenges.

Deuell is currently barely over the 50% threshold.

Seliger is leading by single digits.

No precincts in for Carona-versus-Huffines yet.
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Vega
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #29 on: March 04, 2014, 09:45:39 PM »


Yeah; for a perennial Some Dude, he is. He's from Corpus Christie but he's blowing out Davis in some of the counties around the Rio Gande valley.

Indeed, I'm quite shocked. And if he was not some perennial dude with no money, he actually might win.

Did he even run any ads?

He will not win, Davis is leading by 60 points right now.

I never said he would; I said that

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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #30 on: March 04, 2014, 09:50:27 PM »


I doubt it; all I can find from a simple Google search are generic articles and a few YouTube interviews.

He will not win, Davis is leading by 60 points right now.

Yeah, but it still looks bad that she's losing some of those border counties by pretty big margins.

'Kinda reminds me of LA in 2010. Melancon was running against two Some Dudes for the nomination, but he failed to win majorities in several northern parishes. 'Didn't bode well for the general election.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #31 on: March 04, 2014, 09:51:53 PM »

Glenn Hegar is at 48.3% in the comptroller's race. Maybe no runoff.

It will be an embarrassing night for David Dewhurst if he can't even manage to break 30% in the LiteGuv race. Patrick is currently leading in most of the state's major counties.
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Vega
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #32 on: March 04, 2014, 09:55:40 PM »

Glenn Hegar is at 48.3% in the comptroller's race. Maybe no runoff.

It will be an embarrassing night for David Dewhurst if he can't even manage to break 30% in the LiteGuv race. Patrick is currently leading in most of the state's major counties.

Only 9.53% of Precincts have come in... give it time.

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #33 on: March 04, 2014, 09:56:13 PM »

Reporting starting to finally speed up little, now at 10%. Nothing we didn't already know. Patrick, Hogan, Miller, Paxton, Hegar, and Christian all under 50%.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #34 on: March 04, 2014, 10:06:02 PM »

Gotta love Foard County...the lily white, rural cotton county whose residents still refuse to call themselves Republicans. All two precincts in and zero votes cast in the GOP primary.
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Miles
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« Reply #35 on: March 04, 2014, 10:17:22 PM »

Scherr is only trailing Rogers 21-17 for the second runoff slot.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #36 on: March 04, 2014, 10:23:32 PM »

Yep, Patrick and Dewhurst are going to a runoff....
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #37 on: March 04, 2014, 10:31:46 PM »

Don't think the numbers will change much for anybody.  Most of the early votes have been reported and nobody turnout to vote today.  Even though the AP says 22% of precincts, you've probably got 80% of the vote recorded.
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Meeker
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« Reply #38 on: March 04, 2014, 10:42:03 PM »

Madrigal's success = low-information Hispanic voters picking the Hispanic surname. Not that surprising.

They're starting to pick up now, but I don't remember Texas vote counters being this slow in the past.
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Indy Texas
independentTX
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« Reply #39 on: March 04, 2014, 10:45:10 PM »

Madrigal's success = low-information Hispanic voters picking the Hispanic surname. Not that surprising.

They're starting to pick up now, but I don't remember Texas vote counters being this slow in the past.

The Hispanic Surname Effect is a well-established phenomenon in Texas politics. If your last name ends in a "z", you can run for any statewide office in the Democratic primary and are more or less guaranteed to get at least 10% of the vote or so and carry a couple of Valley counties.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #40 on: March 04, 2014, 10:46:46 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2014, 10:48:45 PM by ElectionsGuy »

Steve Brown projected to win the D Primary for Railroad Commissioner
Jim Hogan will go onto a runoff with Kinky Friedman for Agriculture Commissioner (D)
Sid Miller will go onto a runoff with someone undetermined for Agriculture Commissioner (R)

Still unclear whether Glenn Hegar (R-Comptroller) or David Alameel (D-Senate) can get up to 50%. Apparently Hegar has home territory left.

There will also be a runoff between Wayne Christian and Ryan Sitton for Railroad Commissioner (R)
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #41 on: March 04, 2014, 10:51:36 PM »

The lousy weather in Houston seems to have yielded big dividends for Dan Patrick.

Brazoria County - Patrick 49%, Dewhurst 16%
Fort Bend County - Patrick 52%, Dewhurst 21%
Galveston County - Patrick 42%, Dewhurst 20%
Harris County - Patrick 59%, Dewhurst 19%
Montgomery County - Patrick 60%, Dewhurst 15%
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #42 on: March 04, 2014, 10:57:09 PM »

Better night for the Tea Party this year than in 2012.

Moderate Republican State Rep. Ralph Sheffield (Temple) loses to TP challenger.

State Sen. Kel Seliger (Amarillo) barely hanging on against TP challenger.

Don Huffines narrowly leads incumbent John Carona in Dallas senate seat race.

Tea Party State Rep. Jonathan Stickland (Ft. Worth) has comfortable lead over Establishment challenger Andy Cargile.

Ken Paxton leads Dan Branch in AG race with run-off more or less inevitable.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #43 on: March 04, 2014, 11:01:02 PM »

What did Dewhurst do to piss off Republicans this much? Before this, I could see his primary being competitive, but losing 42-28!?
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #44 on: March 04, 2014, 11:03:33 PM »

More incumbent legislators in trouble.

State Rep. George Lavender (Texarkana) trailing challenger by 13 points.

State Rep. Lance Gooden (Terrell) trailing challenger by 3 points.

State Rep. Jim Keffer (Eastland) leads Tea Party-backed Cullen Crisp by just over 300 votes.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #45 on: March 04, 2014, 11:06:27 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2014, 11:13:17 PM by IndyTexas »

State Rep. Diane Patrick (Arlington) is nearly 10 points behind her challenger.

State Rep. Stefani Carter (Dallas) may go into a runoff with Linda Koop. Carter is the only black female Republican in the Legislature and her reputation has been badly damaged by a failed Railroad Commission bid and controversy surrounding a car accident she caused and later lied about.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #46 on: March 04, 2014, 11:08:34 PM »

State Rep. George Lavender (Texarkana) trailing challenger by 13 points.

Looks like most of Texarkana is still out, so that should help Lavender.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #47 on: March 04, 2014, 11:15:22 PM »

In AG race, Smitherman concedes. Paxton and Branch will go to runoff.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #48 on: March 04, 2014, 11:17:53 PM »

The Texas House will have at least one pro-choice Republican next session. Incumbent Rep. Sarah Davis (Houston) has a wide lead over her challenger, conservative activist Bonnie Parker, with nearly 90% of precincts in.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #49 on: March 05, 2014, 12:35:30 AM »

Does anyone know why Fritsch is doing so well in Bowie County?

Is she from Texarkana? Her website says she's from East Texas but doesn't seem to specify where.
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