The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 148811 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1350 on: June 24, 2014, 09:52:33 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on June 24, 2014, 09:50:43 PM
I am impressed by this Cochran comeback.  I expected him to lose by significant margin.
significant? It was always going to be close.

My prediction was 51-49 McDaniel. It ended up being the exact opposite. (97% in now, 50.8 to 49.2).

Now to watch Sabato and Cook adjust their ratings for the GE back to Safe R.
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Donerail
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« Reply #1351 on: June 24, 2014, 09:52:58 PM »
Holmes is finally in.
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muon2
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« Reply #1352 on: June 24, 2014, 09:54:38 PM »

and Desoto is complete.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1353 on: June 24, 2014, 09:55:28 PM »
Rangel still leading by about 3.5% with 49% of precincts reporting.
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Miles
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« Reply #1354 on: June 24, 2014, 09:56:13 PM »
DeSoto is all in now and Cochran is up 4K.

Thats pretty much it...
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #1355 on: June 24, 2014, 09:56:34 PM »
So what the hell happened to Hinds County?
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Donerail
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« Reply #1356 on: June 24, 2014, 09:56:55 PM »
McDaniel's still missing 6 precincts in Panola, 12 in Clarke, 2 in Forrest, 1 in Jones, and 3 in Jeff Davis. For Cochran counties: 1 in Warren, 1 in Harrison, 4 in Lauderdale, 6 in Scott, 4 in Hinds, 9 in Rankin, 9 in Simpson, and 1 in Winston.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1357 on: June 24, 2014, 09:58:06 PM »
Congrats to the Senator, the Guv, Barbours, etc. Marvelous work. Will this be Cochran's last term?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1358 on: June 24, 2014, 09:58:14 PM »
97% in, Cochran still has a 4K lead, there is no making up that gap now, the tea party has lost this race.
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muon2
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« Reply #1359 on: June 24, 2014, 09:58:17 PM »
Quote from: Lіef on June 24, 2014, 09:55:28 PM
Rangel still leading by about 3.5% with 49% of precincts reporting.

The consistency of the lead over the last 20% and the map showing rough equality for the two contenders in outstanding precincts leads one towards a Rangel win.
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Ab1234mdusr
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« Reply #1360 on: June 24, 2014, 09:58:20 PM »
Quote from: SJoyce on June 24, 2014, 09:56:55 PM
McDaniel's still missing 6 precincts in Panola, 12 in Clarke, 2 in Forrest, 1 in Jones, and 3 in Jeff Davis. For Cochran counties: 1 in Warren, 1 in Harrison, 4 in Lauderdale, 6 in Scott, 4 in Hinds, 9 in Rankin, 9 in Simpson, and 1 in Winston.

This still won't save McDaniel.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1361 on: June 24, 2014, 09:58:27 PM »
Desoto tightens it to 50.6 to 49.4. Rest of Jones may bring it back within 1 point, but Congrats Cochran! (AP still not calling it)
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Miles
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« Reply #1362 on: June 24, 2014, 09:59:12 PM »
NY-13

49% in

Rangel- 47.6%
Espaillat- 43.9%
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1363 on: June 24, 2014, 09:59:54 PM »
Quote from: muon2 on June 24, 2014, 09:58:17 PM
Quote from: Lіef on June 24, 2014, 09:55:28 PM
Rangel still leading by about 3.5% with 49% of precincts reporting.

The consistency of the lead over the last 20% and the map showing rough equality for the two contenders in outstanding precincts leads one towards a Rangel win.

Yeah, my gut feeling is that Rangel pulls this out based on what's come in so far.
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jaichind
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« Reply #1364 on: June 24, 2014, 10:00:22 PM »
Looks like Rangel is likely to win. He is lucky because Walrond did take a bunch of votes away from Rangel but it seems not enough to get take away a Rangel win.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1365 on: June 24, 2014, 10:00:43 PM »
Hogan wins MD Rep. Gov., 42-31 over Craig with 55% in!
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Potus
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« Reply #1366 on: June 24, 2014, 10:00:56 PM »
Lesson: Campaigns matter. Cochran ran well, ran hard, and won because of it.
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LeBron
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« Reply #1367 on: June 24, 2014, 10:01:34 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on June 24, 2014, 09:48:35 PM
Quote from: Midwest Representative Adam C. FitzGerald on June 24, 2014, 09:42:13 PM
Guys, there's still about 2% left in Jones and 12% left in DeSoto. It's not over yet and McDaniel can squeak by at the last minute. 95% of the vote is in with only a 4,000 vote difference, and even if Cochran narrowly wins this, McDaniel will certainly bring this result to court.

I see your DeSoto and Jones and raise you 4 Hinds precincts, 2 Harrison precincts and the entire Holmes County - all areas currently going or expected to go to Cochran.

It's over.
I hate to say it, but I agree with you now with the latest results from DeSoto not showing anything better. However, I wouldn't call it for Cochran yet because it's still close enough to have a legal challenge over the eligibility of the Cochran black voters voting for him in the election and hopefully a possible recount.

I would imagine the absentee vote ballots would favor Cochran though, right?
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Donerail
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« Reply #1368 on: June 24, 2014, 10:01:46 PM »
Quote from: Ab1234mdusr on June 24, 2014, 09:58:20 PM
Quote from: SJoyce on June 24, 2014, 09:56:55 PM
McDaniel's still missing 6 precincts in Panola, 12 in Clarke, 2 in Forrest, 1 in Jones, and 3 in Jeff Davis. For Cochran counties: 1 in Warren, 1 in Harrison, 4 in Lauderdale, 6 in Scott, 4 in Hinds, 9 in Rankin, 9 in Simpson, and 1 in Winston.

This still won't save McDaniel.

Yeah, back-of-the-envelope math says he'd have to win 62% of votes outstanding.
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Harry
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« Reply #1369 on: June 24, 2014, 10:02:18 PM »
30 boxes left.
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muon2
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« Reply #1370 on: June 24, 2014, 10:02:22 PM »
Jones is done: 50.6-49.4.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1371 on: June 24, 2014, 10:02:58 PM »
Jones just finished, folks. Still 50.6 to 49.4. Not sure why AP still isn't calling this.
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Miles
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« Reply #1372 on: June 24, 2014, 10:03:53 PM »
54% for NY-13, Rangel up 47-44.5.
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Miles
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« Reply #1373 on: June 24, 2014, 10:05:09 PM »
AP calls MS for Cochran.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1374 on: June 24, 2014, 10:06:03 PM »
MS Widens to 50.7 to 49.3 now, and AP calls it for Cochran!

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