The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 148902 times)
Miles
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« Reply #1050 on: June 24, 2014, 07:42:56 PM »

5% in for OK

Lankford- 57%
Shannon- 34%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1051 on: June 24, 2014, 07:43:44 PM »

Lankford's lead is relatively uniform across the state at around 50-55%, with Cleveland running up his margins substantially.

Will the long awaited Bradley Effect finally materialize? If it doesn't in a Republican primary in Oklahoma, I doubt it would anywhere.
The Bradley effect is overrated.  The reason Tom Bradley lost his race wasn't racism; it was people lying to pollsters because they didn't want to be seen as racist for not supporting a black candidate.

That's the definition of the Bradley Effect...
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #1052 on: June 24, 2014, 07:44:12 PM »

Lankford's lead is relatively uniform across the state at around 50-55%, with Cleveland running up his margins substantially.

Will the long awaited Bradley Effect finally materialize? If it doesn't in a Republican primary in Oklahoma, I doubt it would anywhere.
The Bradley effect is overrated.  The reason Tom Bradley lost his race wasn't racism; it was people lying to pollsters because they didn't want to be seen as racist for not supporting a black candidate.

That's the definition of the Bradley Effect...
All right.  Glad to see that you understand it.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1053 on: June 24, 2014, 07:46:00 PM »

McDaniel's lead is now down to 57-43, 1% reporting so far.

There's no discernible pattern in where McDaniel is running ahead or behind his two-candidate primary percentage.  Too few precincts are in to tell.  We'll know more when more complete counties report.
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Never
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« Reply #1054 on: June 24, 2014, 07:46:31 PM »

MS-Sen: AP has over 3500 votes (1.9% precincts) with McDaniel at 51.3% and Cochran at 48.7%

AOSHQDD has over 1800 votes in (1.04% precincts) with Cochran at 56.52 and McDaniel at 43.48%
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1055 on: June 24, 2014, 07:47:33 PM »

If Tancredo wins tonight, the CO gov. race could move one step closer to Safe D.
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« Reply #1056 on: June 24, 2014, 07:48:51 PM »

If Tancredo wins tonight, the CO gov. race could move one step closer to Safe D.

A Tancredo victory would be a bag of hurt for the Colorado GOP on the entire ballot.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #1057 on: June 24, 2014, 07:49:20 PM »

Politico now has 2.7% precincts in from MS; Cochran leads with 51.8%; McDaniel has 48.2%.
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Miles
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« Reply #1058 on: June 24, 2014, 07:50:08 PM »

OK: 11% in and Lankford up 56-34.
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« Reply #1059 on: June 24, 2014, 07:51:23 PM »

AP now has 4.1% precincts in from MS with Cochran at 53.1% and McDaniel at 46.9%.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1060 on: June 24, 2014, 07:51:46 PM »

Looks like Lankford wins outright in OK for now.
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« Reply #1061 on: June 24, 2014, 07:52:45 PM »

^ Good. Lankford would be a great senator.
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« Reply #1062 on: June 24, 2014, 07:54:19 PM »

MS-Sen: AP has 7.6% of precincts reporting and Cochran has 58.4% and McDaniel has 41.6%.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1063 on: June 24, 2014, 07:54:30 PM »

Looks like Lankford wins outright in OK for now.

It's super early, and likely Shannon will close the margin.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #1064 on: June 24, 2014, 07:54:37 PM »

Looks like Lankford wins outright in OK for now.
^ Good. Lankford would be a great senator.

Yup. No wrong answer in this one.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1065 on: June 24, 2014, 07:54:48 PM »

AP now has 4.1% precincts in from MS with Cochran at 53.1% and McDaniel at 46.9%.

McDaniel seems to be running behind his primary tally in the counties that are the most complete in - somewhere between 1 and 2 points.

Turnout will likely be higher than the primary.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1066 on: June 24, 2014, 07:54:59 PM »

Woah, Cochran boost.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #1067 on: June 24, 2014, 07:55:13 PM »

From early results, Cochran is performing far better in nearly every county reporting. He'll win.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #1068 on: June 24, 2014, 07:55:49 PM »

Looks like Lankford wins outright in OK for now.
^ Good. Lankford would be a great senator.

Yup. No wrong answer in this one.
They're both wrong answers.  It's still WAY too early to call that primary, even though Lankford has a lead right now.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #1069 on: June 24, 2014, 07:56:11 PM »

Cochran has 89.6% of the vote in Hinds County right now. Jackson looks like it really stepped up its game this time around.
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ag
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« Reply #1070 on: June 24, 2014, 07:56:21 PM »

Might be too early, but looks not too bad for Cochran.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #1071 on: June 24, 2014, 07:56:28 PM »

Looks like Cochran has this. Sad
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1072 on: June 24, 2014, 07:56:56 PM »

AOSHQDD calls OK for Lankford.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1073 on: June 24, 2014, 07:57:01 PM »

From early results, Cochran is performing far better in nearly every county reporting. He'll win.

It's looking that way.
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Matty
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« Reply #1074 on: June 24, 2014, 07:57:07 PM »

Calling it for Thad.
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