possible 2020 presidential candidates (user search)
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Author Topic: possible 2020 presidential candidates  (Read 38111 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: January 01, 2015, 08:44:05 PM »

I also could definitely see a clash between the centrist and progressive wings of the Democratic Party in a Republican wins scenario. It's inevitably going to happen and probably would be happening this time around if not for the fact that Hillary seems to be uniting all wings of the party prematurely.

If Hillary wasn't a factor, I could definitely see 2016 turning into a "Warren vs. Cuomo" clash of the titans. But looks like that will have to wait until either 2020 or 2024, probably with two different people representing each side (Warren will be too old and Cuomo will be old news by then).

Anyway, some possible contenders:

Dems:
Gillibrand
Klobuchar
Booker
Castro
Kaine

Reps:
Cotton
Gardner
Rubio
Walker
Paul
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2015, 04:26:02 PM »

I'm thinking Warren and Cuomo would wind up being the domimant candidates for the Democratic nomination. With each respectively representing the populist and centrist wings of the party and the clash between those two wings being the driving force behind the primary.

After three consecutive terms of Democratic control of the White House, I would think the Republicans would finally not be concernced about idealogical purity and are focused purely on electable. Which helps establishment-friendly candidates like Christie (if he survives Bridgegahzi) and Walker. Perhaps the also try and nominatate a woman or minority. Giving a boost to Rubio, Ayotte, and Haley.

Warren in 2020 will be 71. The Dem party has a fixation with elderly candidates.

Yeah, just look at those old farts JFK, Carter, Clinton, and Obama. And those Republican spring chickens like Reagan, H.W. Bush, Dole, McCain, and Romney.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: January 18, 2015, 11:00:19 PM »

I'm thinking Warren and Cuomo would wind up being the domimant candidates for the Democratic nomination. With each respectively representing the populist and centrist wings of the party and the clash between those two wings being the driving force behind the primary.

After three consecutive terms of Democratic control of the White House, I would think the Republicans would finally not be concernced about idealogical purity and are focused purely on electable. Which helps establishment-friendly candidates like Christie (if he survives Bridgegahzi) and Walker. Perhaps the also try and nominatate a woman or minority. Giving a boost to Rubio, Ayotte, and Haley.

Warren in 2020 will be 71. The Dem party has a fixation with elderly candidates.

Yeah, just look at those old farts JFK, Carter, Clinton, and Obama. And those Republican spring chickens like Reagan, H.W. Bush, Dole, McCain, and Romney.

Well only one of those won over the age of 70 and GHW Bush was 64 when he won in 1988, 7 years younger than Warren would be in 2020.

Your party is full of old farts today. It is run by pre baby boombers where as the GOP is increasingly the Gen-X party.

It's an empirical fact that the average Republican presidential nominee is older than the average Democratic presidential nominee.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: February 23, 2015, 12:32:44 AM »

I'm thinking Warren and Cuomo would wind up being the domimant candidates for the Democratic nomination. With each respectively representing the populist and centrist wings of the party and the clash between those two wings being the driving force behind the primary.

After three consecutive terms of Democratic control of the White House, I would think the Republicans would finally not be concernced about idealogical purity and are focused purely on electable. Which helps establishment-friendly candidates like Christie (if he survives Bridgegahzi) and Walker. Perhaps the also try and nominatate a woman or minority. Giving a boost to Rubio, Ayotte, and Haley.

Warren in 2020 will be 71. The Dem party has a fixation with elderly candidates.

Yeah, just look at those old farts JFK, Carter, Clinton, and Obama. And those Republican spring chickens like Reagan, H.W. Bush, Dole, McCain, and Romney.

Well only one of those won over the age of 70 and GHW Bush was 64 when he won in 1988, 7 years younger than Warren would be in 2020.

Your party is full of old farts today. It is run by pre baby boombers where as the GOP is increasingly the Gen-X party.

It's an empirical fact that the average Republican presidential nominee is older than the average Democratic presidential nominee.
Things have changed. The top-polling Democrats are currently three elderly grandparents: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren. Democrats are also overwhelmingly likely to nominate the last cycle's also-ran.

These reflect some changes in the party and society.

The party has become more amenable to letting people wait their turn now that women and African-Americans have risen in seniority. More women are getting significant careers later in life, with Janet Yellen as a prominent example, becoming Chair of the Federal Reserve at 67. Many of the elderly are healtheir than ever, with Ted Strickland considering a Senate bid at 75.

So when an Elizabeth Warren becomes Senator at 63, it's not necessarily the last step in her political career.

One election cycle isn't enough to reverse that trend. It's possible you might be correct, but there's not nearly enough evidence yet.
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