possible 2020 presidential candidates
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 07:41:17 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  possible 2020 presidential candidates
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3]
Author Topic: possible 2020 presidential candidates  (Read 37872 times)
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #50 on: October 11, 2015, 04:29:40 PM »

The answer is likely someone most of us haven't even heard [much] of. It will probably someone who is holding office at that time (in 2020). Chris Christie' term ends in 2018, and John Kasich's and Andrew Cuomo's ends in 2019. Unless Kasich is the Republican nominee in 2016, his career is likely over after 2019. O'Malley and Chafee have been out of office for a year, which I believe hurts their chances at receiving their Party's nominations this time around, making it even less likely that they will come back in 2020. It is only the establishment figures with massive war chests and name recognition, like Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney (both out of office since 2007), and Hillary Clinton (out of office since 2013) that really have a shot. Unless Cuomo or Kasich make headlines due to some unforeseen event in the next five years, it is unlikely either of them will be on the ticket. And the same goes for Senators like Rubio and Paul. If they aren't on their party's 2016 ticket, and don't win re-election in the Senate next year, they're both done. The pressure is on Cruz (assuming he's not on the GOP ticket next year) to win re-election in 2018. There are too many unforeseen events at the moment for me to make a comfortable prediction.
Andrew Cuomo can be elected again in 2018, Paul can run for Senate/House/Governor(2016/2018/2019), Kasich can run for Senate, Rubio can run for Senate/Governor(2018/2018), and O'Malley can run for Senate or Governor in 2018.
Logged
Clarko95 📚💰📈
Clarko95
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,590
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -5.61, S: -1.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #51 on: October 11, 2015, 07:32:02 PM »

I'd wager Cory Gardner, and I think he could actually win and win big.

Very young (41 now, 46 in 2020), noted for his energetic and friendly nature, won a hard-fought Senate election against an entrenched incumbent in a swing-state, and maintains a conservative-but-not-terrifying image.
Logged
Ticket2016
Newbie
*
Posts: 14
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: February 08, 2016, 02:47:03 PM »

I think it will be Kristen Gillibrand vs Croy Booker vs Martin Heinrich vs Andrew Cumo.
I want Gillibrand for dem, nominee
Logged
mufc1878
Newbie
*
Posts: 13
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #53 on: February 19, 2016, 06:24:28 AM »

Dems:

Kamala Harris
Kirsten Gillibrand
Amy Klobuchar
Tammy Baldwin
Cory Booker
Tim Kaine
Julian Castro
Sheryl Sandberg
Michael Bennet

R's:

Nikki Haley
Ayotte (if she wins reelection)
Tom Cotton
Rand Paul
Ted Cruz
Mark Cuban
Charlie Baker
Cory Gardner


Logged
Pandaguineapig
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,608
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #54 on: February 24, 2016, 07:13:55 PM »

Dems:

Kamala Harris
Kirsten Gillibrand
Amy Klobuchar
Tammy Baldwin
Cory Booker
Tim Kaine
Julian Castro
Sheryl Sandberg
Michael Bennet

R's:

Nikki Haley
Ayotte (if she wins reelection)
Tom Cotton
Rand Paul
Ted Cruz
Mark Cuban
Charlie Baker
Cory Gardner



Matt bevin could be a guy who could combine the very conservative and libertarian wings of the party
Logged
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #55 on: February 24, 2016, 08:01:24 PM »

Assuming Clinton is elected in 2016, voters will be ready for change by 2020:

Clinton / Castro 47% / 217 EV
Rubio / Haley 51% / 321 EV
Logged
Medal506
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,802
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #56 on: April 11, 2016, 03:52:28 PM »

Here is what the 2020 race will look like

Incumbent President Ted Cruz

will face one of these candidates from the democratic party


Democratic primary


Elizabeth Warren
Corey Booker
Donald J Trump
Deval Patrick
Bernie Sanders
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb
Kristin Gillibrand
Logged
Mister Mets
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,435
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #57 on: April 11, 2016, 07:39:45 PM »

My list of possible (favored) candidates:

Democratic:

- Gov. Gavin Newsom(CA)
- Gov. Mike Michaud(ME)
- Gov. Greg Stanton(AZ)
- Sen. Claire McCaskill(MO)
- Sen. Cory Booker(NJ)
- Sen. Catherine Masto(NV)
- Sen. Anthony Foxx(NC)
- Sen. Charlie Crist(FL)
- Rep. Anthony Brown(MD)
- Gov. Andrew Cuomo(NY)
- Sen. Elizabeth Warren(MA)
- Sen. Julian Castro(TX)
- Sen. Russ Feingold(WI)
- Rep. Keith Ellison(MN)


Republican:

- Gov. Marco Rubio(FL)
- Gov. Ryan Costello(PA)
- Gov. Kelly Fajardo(NM)
- Sen. John Kasich(OH)
- Sen. Cory Gardner(CO)
- Sen. Jeff Flake(AZ)
- Sen. Lisa Murkowski(AK)
- Sen. Sean Duffy(WI)
- Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers(WA)
- Gov. Mary Fallin(OK)
- Sen. Ted Cruz(TX)
- Sen. Joni Ernst(IA)
- Sen. Tim Scott(SC)

Gavin Newsom might be able to run as a second-year Governor.

Mike Michaud probably wouldn't.
Note: Possible
McCaskill's going to have to win reelection with a midterm electorate.
With a GOP President, presumably.
Foxx has declined to run for Senate in North Carolina in 2016. Thoms isn't up again until 2020.
So did Gillespie in 2017.
A guy who lost a gubernatorial election isn't going to run for President as a second-term Congressman. Or if he does, it's not going to go well.
.... Why do you think he's running for Congress two years after losing a Gubernatorial race? Presumably, he wants to create a broader profile, and as a minority he has a certain appeal.
Even if Crist can win in 2018, I don't see Democrats picking hm as their candidate for national office.
Joe Lieberman didn't have much of a shot, either.
Kelly Farjado is a newly elected state legislator in New Mexico.
Future Gov. Material. She's being talked about as the next Sec. of State for New Mexico.
Murkowski lost a primary, and has a reputation for being too moderate.
.... Which is why Lieberman wouldn't have ran in 2008 if it was viable.
Mary Fallin hasn't really been considered a national figure even though she ostensibly has the resume
She'd be a good keynote speaker or running-mate for Rubio or Bush or Paul.

Replies in bold.
Didn't notice this at the time.

Big-state Governors with impressive backgrounds may be able to run for President in their second year (and no one has tried this since Jerry Brown in 1976) but that's not really the case for Maine.

Even with a GOP president, the midterm electorate is likely to be more conservative than the one that probably would have picked a sane Republican over McCaskill in 2012.

I kinda think Anthony Brown knows that his prospects are limited after losing a gubernatorial election in the most liberal state in the country.

Kelly Farjado may be a future New Mexico Secretary of State. That's not a viable office to run from in 2020.

I think it's telling that Mary Fallin hasn't gotten much national attention despite her resume. She wasn't vetted for Romney even though she was a female Governor, and former Congresswoman, with experience following a national emergency (the Oklahoma City bombings.) Her family life seems to be unsavory.

http://kfor.com/2015/07/27/governors-daughter-is-living-in-trailer-connected-to-the-mansion-does-it-violate-city-code/
http://amarillo.com/stories/010899/new_LO0727.shtml
Logged
Medal506
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,802
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #58 on: May 20, 2016, 02:18:18 PM »
« Edited: May 21, 2016, 10:45:47 AM by Medal506 »

Democrats


Elizabeth Warren (nominee)
Andrew Cuomo
Cory Booker
Sherrod Brown
Martin O'Malley




Republicans
Ted Cruz (nominee)
Nikki Haley
Tom Cotton
Nathan Deal
Newt Gingrich
Marco Rubio
Tim Scott
Matt Bevin
Paul Ryan
Mike Pence
Rick Scott
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #59 on: May 20, 2016, 03:17:14 PM »
« Edited: May 20, 2016, 03:19:33 PM by Adam T »

This is the list of first time Presidential candidates I wrote a while ago
 
Republican
1.Steve Daines
2.Ben Sasse
3.Mary Fallin
4.Nikki Haley
5.Tim Scott
6.John Thune
7.Bob Corker
8.Mike Lee
9.Paul Ryan

Up for likely competitive reelection first
10.Bruce Rauner
11.Mike Pence
12.Matt Bevin
13.Kelly Ayotte
14.Pat McCrory
15.Rob Portman
16.Pat Toomey

Up for reelection in 2020
17.Tom Cotton
18.Cory Gardner
19.Joni Ernst

'Liberal' Republicans
20.Lisa Murkowski
21.Brian Sandoval

Dropped from list
1.Rick Snyder, technically not a first time candidate anyway but obviously not the reason dropped...
2.Susana Martinez (she's crazy!)

Democrats (not categorized)
1.Michael Bennet
2.Jack Markell
3.Brian Schatz
4.Elizabeth Warren
5.Deval Patrick
6.Gary Peters
7.Amy Klobuchar
8.Steve Bullock
9.Cory Booker
10.Martin Heinrich
11.Andrew Cuomo
12.Kirsten Gillibrand
13.Kate Brown
14.Gina Raimondo
15.Mark Warner
16.Tim Kaine
17.Jay Inslee
18.Tammy Baldwin

Dropped from list
1.Dan Malloy, great speaker lousy governor.
Logged
LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #60 on: May 21, 2016, 07:28:05 AM »

I'm thinking along the lines of...

Sasse
Ryan
Haley
Gardner
Amash (?)
Cruz or Rubio
Ernst
Trump's VP if young enough
Logged
136or142
Adam T
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,434
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #61 on: May 21, 2016, 07:34:11 AM »
« Edited: May 21, 2016, 07:36:40 AM by Adam T »

I'm thinking along the lines of...

Sasse
Ryan
Haley
Gardner
Amash (?)
Cruz or Rubio
Ernst
Trump's VP if young enough

I think Tim Scott right now is one to watch, though four years from now, who knows.  Although both Herman Cain and Dr Ben Carson had qualities that their supporters liked in them, to deny that they received support higher than they would have otherwise because they're black I think would be to deny reality.

I think there is a certain segment among Republican Primary voters that don't like the accusation of racism and so seek out a black person to support.  Both Cain and Dr Carson had major problems and even many of their would be supporters could not end up supporting them (Cain dropped out before the Primaries started.)   Tim Scott should finally be the real deal for these voters.

However, with no black President, these voters may no longer be motivated in their present desire to find a black Republican to support.
Logged
DKrol
dkrolga
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,542


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #62 on: May 21, 2016, 08:48:56 AM »

Republicans

Ben Sasse
Tim Scott, if re-elected in 2016
John Thune, if re-elected in 2016
Ted Cruz, if re-elected in 2018
Mike Lee, if re-elected in 2016
Mike Pence, if re-elected in 2016
Kelly Ayotte, if re-elected in 2016
Rob Portman, if re-elected in 2016
Tom Cotton
Charlie Baker, if re-elected in 2018

Democrats

Mark Warner
Tim Kaine, if re-elected in 2018
Terry McAuliffe
Cory Booker
Tammy Duckworth, if elected in 2016
Elizabeth Warren, if re-elected in 2018
Andrew Cuomo, if he does not seek re-election in 2018.
Kirsten Gilibrand, if re-elected in 2018
Logged
Medal506
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,802
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #63 on: September 03, 2016, 10:49:41 AM »

d
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 12 queries.