KS-PPP: Gov. Brownback (R) down by 2
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  KS-PPP: Gov. Brownback (R) down by 2
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Author Topic: KS-PPP: Gov. Brownback (R) down by 2  (Read 5756 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: February 21, 2014, 11:13:30 AM »

February 18-20, 2014
Survey of 693 Kansas voters

...

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama's job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 34%
Disapprove...................................................... 60%
Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Sam Brownback’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 33%
Disapprove...................................................... 51%
Not sure .......................................................... 16%

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Paul Davis?

Favorable........................................................ 23%
Unfavorable .................................................... 18%
Not sure .......................................................... 59%

Q4 If the candidates for Governor this fall were
Republican Sam Brownback and Democrat
Paul Davis, who would you vote for?

Sam Brownback.............................................. 40%
Paul Davis....................................................... 42%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%

...

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_KS_221.pdf
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Randy Bobandy
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« Reply #1 on: February 21, 2014, 11:25:41 AM »

Beautiful.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: February 21, 2014, 11:28:36 AM »

So, we have a recent Republican poll showing Brownie ahead by 11 and PPP (Dem-leaning) down by 2.

That means Brownback is ahead by about 4-5 points or so on average.

SurveyUSA had him down by 4 in October and they are likely to poll the state soon ...
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: February 21, 2014, 11:42:15 AM »

Glorious news!
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Brewer
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« Reply #4 on: February 21, 2014, 11:47:37 AM »

Well this was lovely news to start off the day with!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: February 21, 2014, 12:29:40 PM »

Wow. Brownback has to be seriously horrific if he's down by 2 in such a red state. But notice the undecideds on Paul Davis, I expect those to be more negative as we go along. I still expect Brownback to win by at least 5 points but he's got to at least defend himself here...
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #6 on: February 21, 2014, 12:41:24 PM »
« Edited: February 21, 2014, 03:08:34 PM by angryGreatness »

Brownback has a 37/46 approval with REPUBLICANS.



Like Quinn, the only thing I see saving him is the PVI of his state and the fact that his opponent has the wrong letter next to his name.
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SWE
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« Reply #7 on: February 21, 2014, 12:57:38 PM »

Wonderful news! If Brownback is down in a deep red state like Kansas, you know he's in trouble
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illegaloperation
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« Reply #8 on: February 21, 2014, 01:11:07 PM »

Glorious news! This is sticking to the Koch brothers!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: February 21, 2014, 01:43:52 PM »

Roberts has a 37/46 approval with REPUBLICANS.

You mean Brownback, right?
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
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« Reply #10 on: February 21, 2014, 01:49:46 PM »

So, we have a recent Republican poll showing Brownie ahead by 11 and PPP (Dem-leaning) down by 2.

That means Brownback is ahead by about 4-5 points or so on average.

SurveyUSA had him down by 4 in October and they are likely to poll the state soon ...

Don't know WPA's accuracy, but not a good idea to average an unknown firm with a proven one, no matter what partisanship says.

I'm predicting Brownback wins by a 5-7 point margin - Davis needs to define himself before Brownback does it for him. And if he's portrayed as your average Lawrenceite, he's toast.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #11 on: February 21, 2014, 03:08:21 PM »
« Edited: February 21, 2014, 03:12:52 PM by angryGreatness »



Err yeah, durr. Fix'd



Also, from Daily Kos Elections:

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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
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« Reply #12 on: February 21, 2014, 03:43:46 PM »

Hmm... dominating? Tongue

Chances that Brownback calls it quits if the next few polls show him in hot water and he wants to save face?  Or maybe it's too late for that.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #13 on: February 21, 2014, 05:18:13 PM »

New Poll: Kansas Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2014-02-20

Summary: D: 42%, R: 40%, U: 18%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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windjammer
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« Reply #14 on: February 21, 2014, 06:56:25 PM »

Hmm... dominating? Tongue

Chances that Brownback calls it quits if the next few polls show him in hot water and he wants to save face?  Or maybe it's too late for that.
Scott, he will be reelected. Obama is so unpopular unfortunately.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #15 on: February 22, 2014, 02:01:26 PM »

60% of Kansans don't even know who Paul Davis is - considering the tilt of the state and his liberal record in the legislature, his favorable aren't going to be looking great when November rolls around, especially when Brownback has the Koch brothers at his disposal - he should easily be able to portray Davis as an out-of-touch liberal. And as it was stated earlier, a lot of Brownback's disapproval is coming from Republicans - a decent chunk of them will likely come home to the GOP in the end. Davis isn't the ideal candidate for Democrats here because even though he's sticking to moderate talking points, his record is anything but.

This poll also underestimates Romney voters and Republicans. Balance it out to what the model will likely be in 2014 and this poll would probably have Brownback slightly ahead.

The only thing I wanted to see out of this poll was the Roberts-Wolf primary, and we did not get it. Gr...
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Meeker
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« Reply #16 on: February 22, 2014, 02:14:44 PM »

Sleeper race of the 2014 cycle. Will be fun to watch.
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Miles
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« Reply #17 on: February 22, 2014, 04:03:35 PM »

The only thing I wanted to see out of this poll was the Roberts-Wolf primary, and we did not get it. Gr...

Roberts leads 49-23 Smiley

The Republican primary subsample is the last thing in the report.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #18 on: February 22, 2014, 04:09:31 PM »

Never really did like Brownback.


He has always been weak on immigration and his pulling out of the Presidential race in 2007 helped to screw Romney in IA.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #19 on: February 22, 2014, 04:26:12 PM »

.

This poll also underestimates Romney voters and Republicans. Balance it out to what the model will likely be in 2014 and this poll would probably have Brownback slightly ahead.

I don't see why you don't see why Brownback is losing. This is an anti-inc mood rather than a GOP year. If Abercrombie can lose in Hawaii, why not Brownback?
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #20 on: February 22, 2014, 04:27:18 PM »


"Oh really? That's surprising."


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Maxwell
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« Reply #21 on: February 22, 2014, 06:14:32 PM »

I hope Brownback loses. Not that I like the idea of Governor Davis, but Brownback deserves a good kick in the ass.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #22 on: February 22, 2014, 07:17:41 PM »

It is possible to be too extreme or incompetent for any particular US state. Kansas is the most R state in the Union that has no large Mormon population and is in no way Southern... and yet its incumbent Governor can go too far to the Right.

Kansas politics has long been a contest between factions within the Republican Party... and the Hard Right has overpowered the Dole/Kassebaum wing and begun to act with consummate arrogance.

If the Dole/Kassebaum wing splits off from the GOP, then it might find itself a new home -- the Democratic Party. The GOP could win landslides so long as it still got the "Rockefeller Republicans"... but once they came to dislike the racists and Bible-thumpers who took over the GOP they found themselves welcome in the Democratic Party.   
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: February 23, 2014, 09:42:58 AM »

It's a midterm, not a prez election. HI and KS are solid D and GOP states at natl election, but partisan trends aren't relevant at state level.
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hopper
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« Reply #24 on: February 23, 2014, 08:44:08 PM »
« Edited: February 23, 2014, 08:51:01 PM by hopper »

It is possible to be too extreme or incompetent for any particular US state. Kansas is the most R state in the Union that has no large Mormon population and is in no way Southern... and yet its incumbent Governor can go too far to the Right.

Kansas politics has long been a contest between factions within the Republican Party... and the Hard Right has overpowered the Dole/Kassebaum wing and begun to act with consummate arrogance.

If the Dole/Kassebaum wing splits off from the GOP, then it might find itself a new home -- the Democratic Party. The GOP could win landslides so long as it still got the "Rockefeller Republicans"... but once they came to dislike the racists and Bible-thumpers who took over the GOP they found themselves welcome in the Democratic Party.    
Um no Kansas is not the reddest state in the union: that's Wyoming(without the Mormon factor.)

Don't forget Kathleen Sebelius was the Governor before Brownback so Kansas has had a Dem Governor recently.

Dude the Rockefellers are long gone and have been for at least since the second half of the 70's as a prominent wing in the Republican Party. Granted there was still some in the party when Reagan was President. I count Connie Morella(R-MD) as the last Rockefeller Republican in Congress.

Brownback is in deep trouble when you are down 2 points and you are the incumbent and its only February you have got problems. Brownback was a good US Senator but made too much of a right hand turn once he got the Governors job. Voters in Kansas thinks he doesn't fund the schools enough and his tax plan voters don't like.
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