AZ-BRC: Tossup, but nobody cares about the race so far
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  AZ-BRC: Tossup, but nobody cares about the race so far
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Author Topic: AZ-BRC: Tossup, but nobody cares about the race so far  (Read 845 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: February 08, 2014, 12:06:06 PM »

“If the Republican primary for Arizona Governor were being held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for – (ROTATE) Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, AlMelvin, Scott Smith or Andrew Thomas?”

  8% Christine Jones
  7% Andrew Thomas
  7% Scott Smith
  6% Ken Bennett
  2% Doug Ducey
  1% Al Melvin
69% Undecided

“If the Democrat primary for Arizona Governor were being held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for – (ROTATE) Ron Cavanaugh or Fred DuVal?”

18% Fred DuVal
12% Ron Cavanaugh
70% Undecided

“If the November General election for Arizona Governor were being held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for – (ROTATE NAMES)

23% Fred DuVal (D)
20% Scott Smith (R)
57% Undecided

23% Fred DuVal (D)
21% Doug Ducey (R)
56% Undecided

26% Ken Bennett (R)
22% Fred DuVal (D)
52% Undecided

...

EDITOR’S NOTE: This Rocky Mountain Poll - Arizona (2014-I-02), is based on 701 interviews with adult heads of household statewide, conducted between January 16 and 26, 2014. Interviewing was conducted in English or Spanish by professional interviewers of the Behavior Research Center on both land lines and cell phones. Where necessary, figures for age, sex, and race were weighted to bring them into line with their actual proportion in the population. In a sample of this size, one can say with a 95 percent certainty that the results have a statistical precision of plus or minus 3.8 percent of what they would have been had the entire adult population been surveyed. The Rocky Mountain Poll is conducted by the Behavior Research Center of Arizona and is an independent and non-partisan research program sponsored by the Center.

http://www.brcpolls.com/14/RMP%202014-I-02.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2014, 12:09:47 PM »

Similar to this poll here:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=183769.0

The number of undecideds in this AZ race is ... Shocked

But: Democrats should really put some money in there.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2014, 07:41:52 PM »

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't Rocky Mountain the same pollster that said Obama had an edge in Arizona?

It doesn't matter anyway though, as you noted, nobody knows about this race yet and the primary isn't until late August.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2014, 07:43:26 PM »

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't Rocky Mountain the same pollster that said Obama had an edge in Arizona?

It doesn't matter anyway though, as you noted, nobody knows about this race yet and the primary isn't until late August.

It was like a two-point lead, and it came at the height of the Obama surge from the 47% Video and the DNC.
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windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2014, 03:38:53 PM »

This poll is irrelevant when you have more than 50% undecided.
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Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« Reply #5 on: February 15, 2014, 05:31:22 PM »

     This poll is completely useless.
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