WV: Clairty (D): Capito +6

[Miles]

Article.

Capito (R)- 45%
Tennant (D)- 39%

EMILY's List commissioned this, so make of that what you will.

[windjammer]

Capito is probably leading by 10-12 at this time, Tennant is improving but she can't trail Capito by only 6 points.

[free my dawg]

Looks like a reasonable high point for Tennant. This seat is Capito's as long as she wants it. I expect WV will become more D-friendly once Obama gets out of office, but Capito will survive no matter what.

[windjammer]

Even if I consider this race "Lean Rep", I don't see Capito losing. I just hope it will help Tennant's future, I really like her!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race was always within striking distance for Tennant. The oil spill and Temnant's improved name recognition will make this close at end.

[sg0508]

Never underestimate the power of the local WV democratic party.  They continue to win statewide races despite their poor performances in presidential elections since 2000.  From Day 1, I believed this one would be far tougher for the GOP to take than some may have thought.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But, I do think Capito should win in the end.
[/quote]

She has, so far steered away from controversey, Capito. As do most moderate female GOP congresswomen. But, WVa is conservative and wait til the Fall when the campaign gets heated. I don't expect Tennant or Walsh to lead in the open seats. But if it is close enough, they can win it with turnout.