Did the hippies vote for Humphrey? (user search)
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  Did the hippies vote for Humphrey? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Did the hippies vote for Humphrey?  (Read 7248 times)
Del Tachi
Republican95
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« on: February 13, 2014, 04:37:36 PM »

I have a better question. How do the self described hippies of the late 60s and early 70s vote now? My guess is about evenly split today. Hippies were drawn to progressive causes and I expect a lot of them to still think that way. But at the same time I think a lot of them were just going through a rebellious phase and turned more conservative by the late 70s.

1968: 10/60/30 Nixon/Humphrey/None

1972: 10/90 Nixon/McGovern

1976: 30/60/10 Ford/Carter/None

1980: 30/40/15/15 Reagan/Carter/Anderson/None

1984: 50/50  Reagan/Mondale

1988: 45/55 Bush/Dukakis

1992: 30/40/30 Bush/Clinton/Perot

1996: 35/50/15  Dole/Clinton/Perot

2000: 50/50 Bush/Gore

2004: 55/45 Bush/Kerry (first time the R wins this group)

2008: 50/50 McCain/Obama

2012: 55/40/5 Romney/Obama/None

How does this group (comprised of the same individuals) go from 35% Republican in 1996 to 55% Republican in 2012? 

Or how does a demographic that was split 50/50 in an extremely lopsided election (1984) stay around 50/50 in a extremely close election (2000)?
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Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2014, 08:44:23 PM »

I have a better question. How do the self described hippies of the late 60s and early 70s vote now? My guess is about evenly split today. Hippies were drawn to progressive causes and I expect a lot of them to still think that way. But at the same time I think a lot of them were just going through a rebellious phase and turned more conservative by the late 70s.

1968: 10/60/30 Nixon/Humphrey/None

1972: 10/90 Nixon/McGovern

1976: 30/60/10 Ford/Carter/None

1980: 30/40/15/15 Reagan/Carter/Anderson/None

1984: 50/50  Reagan/Mondale

1988: 45/55 Bush/Dukakis

1992: 30/40/30 Bush/Clinton/Perot

1996: 35/50/15  Dole/Clinton/Perot

2000: 50/50 Bush/Gore

2004: 55/45 Bush/Kerry (first time the R wins this group)

2008: 50/50 McCain/Obama

2012: 55/40/5 Romney/Obama/None

How does this group (comprised of the same individuals) go from 35% Republican in 1996 to 55% Republican in 2012? 

Or how does a demographic that was split 50/50 in an extremely lopsided election (1984) stay around 50/50 in a extremely close election (2000)?

Because this group became more conservative through time. That was the point I was trying to make. Disappointment with the counterculture movement might have swung some of these people more to the right, as well as becoming more conservative with age.

Hippies did get more conservative, but those who were still liberal by, say, 1984 or 1988, have probably stayed that way.

Instead, you have a group going from 35% GOP to 55% GOP in less than a twenty year span of time which didn't begin until the mid 1990s.
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