Harper (R) polls several races for Crossroads
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Author Topic: Harper (R) polls several races for Crossroads  (Read 1177 times)
Miles
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« on: February 07, 2014, 10:52:35 AM »

Article.

AK
Begich- 41%
Treadwell- 47%

Begich- 41%
Sullivan- 47%

Begich- 51%
Miller- 32%

Obama- 31/61

AR
Cotton- 42%
Pryor- 36%

Obama- 31/64

LA

Landrieu- 42%
Cassidy- 29%
Maness- 4%
Hollis- 4%

Landrieu- 44%
Cassidy- 45%

Obama- 40/54

MI

Land- 42%
Peters- 37%

Obama- 38/52

MT

Daines- 43%
Walsh- 29%

Daines- 44%
Bohlinger- 32%

Obama- 36/56

NH

Shaheen- 40%
Brown- 35%

Obama- 35/57

NC

Hagan- 44%
Tillis- 44%

Hagan- 44%
Harris- 40%

Obama- 43/51


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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2014, 12:03:36 PM »

I seriously doubt that Begich is down by that much (if at all), or that Landrieu is up by that much.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2014, 12:05:12 PM »

I seriously doubt that Begich is down by that much (if at all), or that Landrieu is up by that much.

Thats for the primary Wink

Landrieu and Cassidy are tied in the runoff.
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Morning in Atlas
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« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2014, 12:34:59 PM »

lol
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2014, 01:44:27 PM »

Besides the Alaska numbers these look pretty plausible.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2014, 04:17:24 PM »

Looks just a little bit too good for republicans. According to this, republicans would pickup the Senate with room to spare. Alaska definitely looks like its too good, likely its much closer than that, with Begich just barely down or up. Also, still can't comprehend people who still think Montana is a "toss-up" because "Walsh is the incumbent". Even with Brown in New Hampshire, Shaheen will still likely win. And in Michigan, Peters will probably win in the end, despite his trailing at the moment. Everything else though actually looks pretty realistic.
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Vosem
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« Reply #6 on: February 08, 2014, 04:31:35 PM »

AK and MI are a bit too GOP; LA and NC are a bit too Dem. I think. But it's broadly pretty accurate.
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windjammer
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« Reply #7 on: February 08, 2014, 04:50:05 PM »

Why would LA be a bit too dem? She's not losing.
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Miles
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« Reply #8 on: February 10, 2014, 06:07:29 PM »

If anything, the LA poll is too GOP.

Harper undersampled the New Orleans area. For the MI poll, Detroit was similarly underrepresented.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: February 10, 2014, 06:13:43 PM »

Don't waste your time with this crap Miles. We're gettin' real polls very soon. Tongue
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DrScholl
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« Reply #10 on: February 10, 2014, 06:26:24 PM »

Interesting how they over-represented Land's home area by about 7%. I'm sure that was just a coincidence.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: February 10, 2014, 06:59:53 PM »
« Edited: February 10, 2014, 07:15:50 PM by OC »

Don't waste your time with this crap Miles. We're gettin' real polls very soon. Tongue

ACA is being delayed and very sick signing up, these polls, I am afraid are accurate. GOP takeover is now a plausibility, not remote.

And so is a 2016 GOP prez. The GOP won't stay out of power, forever.

We gave the GOP SD and WVa by default,
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #12 on: February 11, 2014, 08:54:43 AM »

If anything, the LA poll is too GOP.

Harper undersampled the New Orleans area. For the MI poll, Detroit was similarly underrepresented.

West Michigan has never made up more than 20% of the electorate, and they give it a 26% weight? Metro Detroit has always made up between 48% and 50% of the electorate, and they give them a 35% weight?

They were a little bit generous with Flint/Tri-Cities and Mid-Michigan, though.

They underpolled Metro Detroit by close to 15 points. I'm sure there's a good explanation for that.
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