latest Betfair odds

[Phony Moderate]

Does anyone feel Bush isn't overpriced here?

His price isn't quite as absurd as Giuliani's 40.0 at this point in 2007.

[Phony Moderate]

So Rubio is within 0.1 of Giuliani and the latter went on of course to win, what, one delegate?

[Phony Moderate]

Don't those odds imply that Trump would have a greater than 50% chance of winning the GE if nominated?

[Phony Moderate]

This is all most disgusting. Perhaps the answer is to conclude the the American Revolution was all a mistake, and merge back with the UK. The Parliamentary system, and of course the UK legal system, and their campaign finance laws, and length of campaigns, is far superior to the mess with which we have to cope in all events.

k Benedict.

[Phony Moderate]

It's long overdue but is there any particular reason why the Trump surge is happening now?

Lots of punters are making the following new year's resolution: No longer be a delusional c**t.

[Phony Moderate]

Perhaps there has been a turn-of-the-year effect over the past 12 days? Punters paying more attention to the race and the polls and seeing that TRUMP does in fact probably have the best chance of any single candidate.

[Phony Moderate]

Overreacting over one state.

Still, the case has to be made for a one-day 50-state primary. The fact that a few thousand knobs in Iowa have such a disproportionately high influence in selecting the president is outrageous.

[Phony Moderate]

Not Betfair, but politicaloddschecker. Explain this :

Hillary Clinton   72%   -3.9%   -3.4%   -11.4%
Bernie Sanders   14%   -3.2%   -4.1%   +3.6%
John Kerry   8%   +7.4%   +7.4%   +7.3%
Joe Biden   5%   +2.1%   +2.5%   +4.4%
Martin OMalley   1%   +0.4%   +0.4%   +0.2%

Variations are for the day, then week, then month. So the tie in Iowa prompted bettors to give John Kerry a 7 pt bump and Joe Biden a 2 pt bump. I sort of get Joe Biden who actually was interested just a couple of months ago, and could settle a bloody tie, but has John Kerry even expressed any interest at all ? This is wild.

Kerry would obviously be talked about in the event of a brokered convention. But Biden would likely get it in that event.

[Phony Moderate]

Wtf?! The Trumpster has 77% chance? I'd give him 51% now, with 49% for Marco.

Well, if you give him majority odds then he surely has it, no?

[Phony Moderate]

FFS, no way should Jeb! be ahead of Romney; the latter is a trillion times more likely to be selected if it comes down to a brokered convention.

[Phony Moderate]

Well, there clearly isn't a 100% chance that either Hillary or Bernie will be nominated.