FL won't be trending D for long if the GOP starts to court Hispanics more, which they are already starting to.
Buy VA will be gone for the GOP by 2020.
The problem is: there are two effects with Hispanics in Florida. Because there are, at least, two very distinct Hispanic demographics there. Firstly, there are Cubans - and then there are the rest. Cubans have long been a Republican mainstay there, of course - but they are likely not going to be that in the coming future. The old generation, for which anti-communism was the determining factor, is being replaced by the younger, American-born Cubans, and these are a lot more elastic, at best - or Dem friendly, at worst. Even if Republicans improve among the Hispanics in general, they will have to deal with Cubans becoming more like the rest of the urban ethnic minorities. And, even assuming Republicans are incredibly successful in their Hispanic outreach (of which, at present, we have no evidence whatsoever), it is far from clear which effect dominates.
