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  Talk Elections
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  Christie trails Clinton by 13 points in new NBC/Marist poll
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Author Topic: Christie trails Clinton by 13 points in new NBC/Marist poll  (Read 2461 times)
henster
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« on: January 15, 2014, 04:38:56 pm »

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2014/01/15/22316680-poll-christie-cruising-through-bridge-scandal-so-far?lite


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I Was So Wrong
outofbox6
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2014, 04:44:18 pm »

Bye Christie.
Hello Walker.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2014, 05:41:24 pm »


Bye Christie.
Bye Walker.
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Flake
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2014, 06:37:43 pm »

I love those numbers, but this is most likely a temporary thing since there is a bridge scandal that  is airing 24/7
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2014, 06:42:12 pm »

But only down 2 in MI?

lolHarper.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2014, 07:33:36 pm »

Wonderful news! And Marist is a high quality polling firm as well.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2014, 08:28:30 pm »

Clinton 50%
Christie 37%

men: Clinton +2
women: Clinton +23
whites: Christie +2
blacks: Clinton +70
Latinos: Clinton +21
college graduates: Clinton +11
not college graduate: Clinton +15
age 18-29: Clinton +28
age 30-44: Clinton +17
age 45-59: Clinton +7
age 60+: Clinton +10

fav/unfav:
Clinton 51/39% for +12%
Christie 29/32% for -3%
Obama 41/48% for -7%
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seanNJ9
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« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2014, 08:49:57 pm »

Likelyhood Clinton beats Christie with men. 0%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2014, 09:34:18 pm »

Marist has always been way friendlier to Clinton than most polls for some reason.
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Scott🦋
Scott
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« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2014, 10:28:08 pm »

Interesting to see Hillary performing better with youngs than olds when other polls showed the inverse to be the case...
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2014, 10:33:11 pm »

Interesting to see Hillary performing better with youngs than olds when other polls showed the inverse to be the case...

Almost every poll has the under 30s as her best group, at least in matchups against Republican candidates.  It's just that when you get to the subsamples older than 30, she has a flatter age gap than Obama had in 2008 and 2012..with many polls (though not this one) showing her doing better among the over 65s than the 30-45s.
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Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More
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« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2014, 10:53:03 pm »

Interesting to see Hillary performing better with youngs than olds when other polls showed the inverse to be the case...

Almost every poll has the under 30s as her best group, at least in matchups against Republican candidates.  It's just that when you get to the subsamples older than 30, she has a flatter age gap than Obama had in 2008 and 2012…..with many polls (though not this one) showing her doing better among the over 65s than the 30-45s.


Clinton seems to be doing ok with the kids but seems to have problems with middle aged people who are probably doing the best they ever will while Obama had a problem with retired people. Maybe its a rich person thing?
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2014, 11:14:06 pm »

I love those numbers, but this is most likely a temporary thing since there is a bridge scandal that  is airing 24/7

I agree, though; it will get (much) worse before it starts getting better for him though.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #13 on: January 15, 2014, 11:15:47 pm »


It's for an entity with the word "Conservative" in its name. Enough said.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #14 on: January 16, 2014, 02:42:25 am »

If this trend continues his big money backers are going to dry up. Let's face it, his supposed cross-over appeal and electability vs. Hillary was his primary strength. Without that he really has nothing. He is just another NE RINO.
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morgieb
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« Reply #15 on: January 16, 2014, 02:53:54 am »

Momentum!!!1!!!
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DrScholl
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« Reply #16 on: January 16, 2014, 03:03:18 am »

Christie's high point is over, and any boost he got from his re-election is deflated. Sure, early polling doesn't mean much, but Christie's main plus was the electability argument and if he doesn't have that, he has nothing to lock down a lot establishment support. Save for his nominal bipartisan credentials and nominally moderate profile, Christie isn't much different than the rest of the Republican field.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: January 16, 2014, 06:53:06 am »

I think if the election were held today, it would look like 2012 but maybe NC instead of Va and Florida goes to Clinton.
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Scott🦋
Scott
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« Reply #18 on: January 16, 2014, 12:11:57 pm »

I think if the election were held today, it would look like 2012 but maybe NC instead of Va and Florida goes to Clinton.

Why would Clinton carry North Carolina but lose Virginia and Florida?
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RJEvans
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« Reply #19 on: January 17, 2014, 04:08:56 pm »

Clinton won't win men and she won't win whites. Each of which have gotten more conservative over the last 8 years.

Second, Clinton won't have a +12 favorable rating on election day.

Definitely an outlier. I think a Clinton-Christie race is within 5 points today.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #20 on: January 18, 2014, 08:44:44 am »

This poll puts to rest the doubters that Ohio isn't really in play with with Portman up for reelection or running on the natl ticket. The 272 firewall with or without Ohio is very much in tack.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #21 on: January 18, 2014, 05:20:39 pm »
« Edited: January 18, 2014, 05:31:41 pm by MATTROSE94 »

I think if the election were held today, it would look like 2012 but maybe NC instead of Va and Florida goes to Clinton.
Hillary Clinton would easily carry Virginia, North Carolina, Florida and maybe even Georgia and Missouri against any Republican candidate and might even get above 40% of the vote in Kentucky, Arkansas and West Virginia.
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Mynheer Peeperkorn
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« Reply #22 on: January 26, 2014, 07:34:39 am »


This will be a republican massacre.

They deserve it.
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