2014 and beyond- a tale of woe (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2014 and beyond- a tale of woe (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2014 and beyond- a tale of woe  (Read 49085 times)
badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« on: January 17, 2014, 10:11:39 PM »

Nice to see Ruben Kihuen getting ink
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2014, 10:47:07 PM »

The Cubs? This really is a tale of woe. Wink
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2014, 12:01:31 AM »
« Edited: January 26, 2014, 12:03:13 AM by badgate »

I hope you don't mind, I wanted to see what a tossup map looks like so I made one in the calculator based on these last polls. There are a few states I have as "safe" that probably aren't actually safe, but it's a best guess. Smiley Thought I'd share it:



Hillary Clinton/??? - 224
Cruz/Cantor - 179
Bloomberg/Bolling - 0
Tossup - 135


60% - Safe
40% - Slightly safe lead
0% - Tossup

I imagine that Washington, Oregon, Nevada, New Mexico, Minnesota, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Missouri, Indiana, possibly Maine, are all also only with a "slightly safe lead" but that's up to you the wonderful TL author Smiley
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2014, 12:14:05 AM »

This is a cool map! Keep up the good work!



Hillary Clinton/??? - 235
Cruz/Cantor - 164
Bloomberg/Bolling - 1
Tossup - 138

60% - Safe
40% - Slightly safe lead
0% - Tossup
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #4 on: January 28, 2014, 10:10:38 PM »

Very unexpected governor choice! Interesting to see how that shapes up the midwest

Hillary was 2 points down in MO in the last poll; this should at least put her in a tie. Hopefully better.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2014, 04:06:09 PM »

Wow, I do not have the patience to do my election nights like this. But once you're done, if you choose to continue this, you'll have an entire alternate House of Representatives, which is cool. Keep it up! Go Clinton
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2014, 03:18:09 PM »

Well Bloomberg looks to be underperforming.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #7 on: February 14, 2014, 04:38:11 PM »

You're gonna hate yourself when you start doing the California results.
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2014, 05:57:09 PM »

I don't see how Sandoval wins 55%. I can see some people crossing from Reid to Sandoval, but the majority who didn't want to vote for Reid would vote None of the Above. Can you explain your thinking there?
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badgate
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,466


« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2014, 12:48:15 AM »

Wow. Texas Municipal elections? You're going into a lot of detail here bro.
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