Why are the Dem. candidates younger than the Rep. ones?
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  Why are the Dem. candidates younger than the Rep. ones?
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Author Topic: Why are the Dem. candidates younger than the Rep. ones?  (Read 1301 times)
buritobr
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« on: January 02, 2014, 04:37:57 PM »

Since the end of the WWII, only in 1948, 1964, 1968 and in 2004 the Democratic candidate was older than the Republican candidate. What causes the preference of one party for young candidates and the preference of the other party for old candidates?

"Most of the young people is Democratic and most of the old people is Republican" might not be an answer because both parties have young and old politicians. Joe Biden is old, Sarah Palin and Paul Ryan are young.

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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #1 on: January 02, 2014, 05:24:22 PM »

A mix of culture and coincidence. Republicans tend to lean towards tried and tested candidates, often ones who have been around for a long time or have run before, which inevitably means they will be older. However, some of the time it's just coincidence.

The Democrats are more willing to try new, often little known candidates who may be younger because they haven't been in politics for as long. Once again, often it is coincidence that makes the Democratic candidate younger.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2014, 12:09:13 PM »

"Change" (or some variant of it) has been a regular slogan of the Democratic Party since FDR, and obviously younger candidates are more likely to better represent "change". That's something the Democrats should probably think about heading towards 2016.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2014, 06:33:00 PM »

"Change" (or some variant of it) has been a regular slogan of the Democratic Party since FDR, and obviously younger candidates are more likely to better represent "change". That's something the Democrats should probably think about heading towards 2016.

Why?  They are the party holding the White House.  At the very least it would be awkward to campaign on a message of we need a change from Obama.  If it weren't for the 22nd Amendment, Obama might be the best Democratic contender for 2016.
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henster
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« Reply #4 on: January 03, 2014, 06:40:31 PM »

Unfortunately Hillary will probably break that trend.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #5 on: January 03, 2014, 11:32:37 PM »
« Edited: January 03, 2014, 11:49:40 PM by Mister Mets »

It's interesting. There's several reasons.

This was a period in which Republicans dominated the White House so there were less opportunities for Democrats to use roles in presidential cabinets as a platform to run for President.

Democrats developed a tendency to go for new faces like JFK, McGovern, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. That skews young. It also led to Gore being fairly young when he was a two-term Veep.

Republicans developed a liking for politicians who were outside politics before running for higher office. This meant they had to be accomplished and it takes a while for that to happen. Eisenhower was in his 60s during his first bid for office. Ronald Reagan became Governor at 55. George HW Bush became Congressman at a relative young 43, but it took him a while to build a sufficient resume to run for Prez in 1980 (which led to him getting the nomination in 1988.) George W Bush became Governor at 48. Mitt Romney became Governor at 54.

A very significant factor I just realized is that Democrats have a strong tendency to pick people who got into politics at a relatively young age. JFK was a Congressman at 29. LBJ was a Congressman at 28. Even Nixon, a historically young Republican nominee, was 33 when he became a Congressman.

Humphrey was 34 when he became Mayor. McGovern was 34 when he became Congressman. Carter was 38 when he became a state senator. Mondale was 31 when he became Minnesota Attorney General. Bill Clinton was 30 when elected Attorney General of Arkansas, having failed a congressional bid two years earlier. Al Gore became a congressman at 28. John Kerry ran for Congress at 28. Obama became a state senator at 35.
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Mordecai
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« Reply #6 on: January 04, 2014, 12:02:41 AM »

Since the end of the WWII, only in 1948, 1964, 1968 and in 2004 the Democratic candidate was older than the Republican candidate. What causes the preference of one party for young candidates and the preference of the other party for old candidates?

Well the Democratic Party is less culturally conservative than the Republican Party so their base is going to be more open to younger challengers, whereas the Republican Party is more conservative so they're going to feel more secure throwing their lot in with senior establishment figures who have proved themselves.

It also helps to pick noticeably young candidates if you're running against an incumbent, which was often the case for Democrats.
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buritobr
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« Reply #7 on: January 04, 2014, 03:17:24 PM »

It's interesting. There's several reasons.

This was a period in which Republicans dominated the White House so there were less opportunities for Democrats to use roles in presidential cabinets as a platform to run for President.

Democrats developed a tendency to go for new faces like JFK, McGovern, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. That skews young. It also led to Gore being fairly young when he was a two-term Veep.

Republicans developed a liking for politicians who were outside politics before running for higher office. This meant they had to be accomplished and it takes a while for that to happen. Eisenhower was in his 60s during his first bid for office. Ronald Reagan became Governor at 55. George HW Bush became Congressman at a relative young 43, but it took him a while to build a sufficient resume to run for Prez in 1980 (which led to him getting the nomination in 1988.) George W Bush became Governor at 48. Mitt Romney became Governor at 54.

A very significant factor I just realized is that Democrats have a strong tendency to pick people who got into politics at a relatively young age. JFK was a Congressman at 29. LBJ was a Congressman at 28. Even Nixon, a historically young Republican nominee, was 33 when he became a Congressman.

Humphrey was 34 when he became Mayor. McGovern was 34 when he became Congressman. Carter was 38 when he became a state senator. Mondale was 31 when he became Minnesota Attorney General. Bill Clinton was 30 when elected Attorney General of Arkannsas, having failed a congressional bid two years earlier. Al Gore became a congressman at 28. John Kerry ran for Congress at 28. Obama became a state senator at 35.

I think it is a very good explanation. It makes sense that the most pro-business party has leaders who were businessmen before becoming politicians. And if they were businessmen, they could not start being politicians very early.

Chalenging an incumbent has no much relation to being youger, because in four of the last five elections, the candidate of the party trying to pick the White House was older than the candidate of the party trying to hold the White House.
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