Canada General Discussion 1.5: The Countdown Begins

[Hatman 🍁]

How does a creationist get elected in Vancouver Island of all places?

Did you know he was a creationist say a year ago?

If you don't go around advertizing it, I imagine its fairly easily to be elected as a creationist with any party.

The evidence is all around him. Vancouver Island is full of old fossils! </zing>

[Hatman 🍁]

South Asians tend to vote NDP or Liberal depending on where they live. They even vote Conservative... in Alberta, just like everyone else (where their Sikh MP is from). BTW, you only saw him because parties like to keep their white males in seats that are normally off camera.

[Hatman 🍁]

He spells centre "center". HP.

[Hatman 🍁]

One surprising thing from his diary is that he "only" weighs 260 lbs. That's less than ODF!

[Hatman 🍁]

There's still a bit of bloom. We won't see the anti-Harper vote shift much until the campaign. Then it's anybody's guess.

[Hatman 🍁]

Fredericton South was a good fit for the Greens, but I don't know anything about Bevan-Baker's district. Is it any more inclined to support the Greens than somewhere else on the island?

[Hatman 🍁]

L+1

[Hatman 🍁]

Peter MacKay only won a majority of the votes once. Take him out of the picture, and the Liberals can win the seat, especially the way they are polling in Nova Scotia.

[Hatman 🍁]

Definitely not "L+1!!!"

What's wrong with having a little flare for the dramatic?

[Hatman 🍁]

I don't have many nice things to say about Parizeau, so I'll leave it at that.

[Hatman 🍁]

I was an impressionable child during the mid 1990s, so separatists where very much a boogeyman to me. That era of Canadian politics still feels nightmarish to me. I hope you understand why so many anglophones have irrational feelings about Quebec nationalism.

[Hatman 🍁]

Ontarians aren't "anti-Quebec". We're anti-Quebec separatism. In fact, Ontario is probably the most pro-Quebec province outside of Quebec. Of course, I might be biased, growing up on the border.

[Hatman 🍁]

Newfoundland election called for November 30: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/provincial-election-set-for-nov-30-1.3104601

[Hatman 🍁]

Canadian politics is remarkably hard to predict, which is why I laughed at you for being so absolutely sure the Conservatives would win

[Hatman 🍁]

The rest of the quarterly Atlantic polls are out

Nova Scotia
Lib: 50% (-8)
NDP: 27% (+9)
PC: 19% (-1)

New Brunswick
Lib: 38% (-16)
PC: 28% (+1)
NDP: 23% (+14)
Green: 11% (+1)

This is good news for the NS NDP as they are defending two narrow wins in by-elections soon. Also, holy crap look at that NB swing.

Has that austerity budget come out yet in Nova Scotia?

As for NB, it seems the NDP only polls well there between elections. Good to see we haven't fallen behind the Greens, though. 

[Hatman 🍁]

#Notleymania

[Hatman 🍁]

Really, you think the NDP can hold them?

[Hatman 🍁]

lol, PCs only raised $200K from regular people? Probably mostly the wealthy, too.

[Hatman 🍁]

Really, you think the NDP can hold them?

Sure. The polls aren't that far off of the 2013 result and those two ridings are one of the few places with a decent number of tribal NDP voters.

Yes, but the NDP wont have the incumbent advantage.

[Hatman 🍁]

While a referendum is not legally binding, it is the only thing that would actually bring about change. It gives legitimacy for change. Doesn't mean it would work necessarily.

[Hatman 🍁]

I'm sorry, I haven't been following Canadian politics of late.  Can someone give me a brief explanation of what prompted the massive surge in support for the NDP in the recent national polling?

Alberta.

[Hatman 🍁]

NL-VOCM: 53/25/21. Most of that Dipper gain is from Tories.

With those regional numbers, the Tories might hold on to a couple seats in Avalon (Ferryland and Cape St. Francis), and the NDP might win 3 or 4 seats in St. John's, while the Liberals would win everything else.

[Hatman 🍁]

Just found out. RIP.

One of the Red Tories that jumped to the NDP after the merger.