Sabato predicts Dems lose seats in both House and Senate in '14 (user search)
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  Sabato predicts Dems lose seats in both House and Senate in '14 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato predicts Dems lose seats in both House and Senate in '14  (Read 3736 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,694
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: December 28, 2013, 07:36:56 PM »
« edited: December 28, 2013, 08:25:04 PM by OC »

Pundits like to predict the very worst case scenarios. Clearly in a neutral environment, we should lose 3 senate seats and pick up 3 governships. Not extending unemployment benefits is gonna hurt GOP chances in senate.

Walsh, Landrieu, Begich and Hagen will survive
Pryor and Wva won't.

He also predicted  that George Allen would win in 2006, wrongly.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,694
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2015, 12:55:15 PM »

2014 was worst than predicted. But most of seats were in solid GOP states.

2018, have Dems in GOP states, but states like MO and FL are mainstream states, and may be saving grace for Dems.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,694
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2015, 05:18:51 PM »

moderately conservative
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