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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  "Lean" Democratic states (search mode)
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Author Topic: "Lean" Democratic states  (Read 3462 times)
pbrower2a
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Posts: 22,085
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« on: January 04, 2014, 06:42:11 pm »

Lean Democratic is fair. But I do find it hilarious how PA somehow manages to be called a "toss up" every single election, when the only time in the past few decades it was one was 2004.

Pennsylvania barely missed being the tipping-point state in 2012.
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pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 05, 2014, 12:46:35 am »

Likely tipping-point states based on previous elections

2012 -- Colorado
2008 -- Iowa
2004 -- Ohio
2000 -- Florida
1996 -- Pennsylvania
1992 -- Tennessee
1988 -- Michigan
1984, 1980 -- who cares?
1976 -- Wisconsin

Closeness to the national average but not otherwise mentioned:

2012 -- Virginia
2004 -- Nevada
1996 -- New Hampshire, New Mexico
1992 -- New Jersey
1976 -- Mississippi

If you see any pattern other than states not included, then show it.
 
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